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Offering commentary and analysis from Washington, Oregon, and Idaho, The Cascadia Advocate is the Northwest Progressive Institute's uplifting perspective on world, national, and local politics.

Wednesday, November 9th, 2022

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez’s lead over Joe Kent holds in second day of counting

Demo­c­ra­t­ic con­gres­sion­al hope­ful Marie Glue­senkamp Perez remained ahead of ultra MAGA Repub­li­can rival Joe Kent today as thou­sands of bal­lots were tab­u­lat­ed across the five coun­ties in Wash­ing­ton’s 3rd Con­gres­sion­al District.

To win, Glue­senkamp Perez must hold out against Kent in the late bal­lots, which doomed incum­bent Jaime Her­rera Beut­ler back in August.

On Elec­tion Night, Glue­senkamp Perez had an 11,123 vote lead.

100,564 votes were tab­u­lat­ed for her and 89,441 were tab­u­lat­ed for Kent.

In today’s count, that lead shrank to 10,273.

114,675 votes have now been tab­u­lat­ed for her and 104,402 for Kent.

Glue­senkamp Perez is win­ning Clark and Pacif­ic coun­ties, while Kent is win­ning Lewis, Cowlitz, Thurston, Wahki­akum, and Ska­ma­nia coun­ties. Clark is the dis­tric­t’s pop­u­la­tion cen­ter, with the largest con­cen­tra­tion of vot­ers in the 3rd.

Clark reports hav­ing about 70,000 bal­lots left to be processed.

Cowlitz, the dis­tric­t’s sec­ond largest coun­ty, reports hav­ing about 12,000.

Lewis has 6,000.

Pacif­ic, Wahki­akum, and Ska­ma­nia have less than a thou­sand combined.

Thurston has 35,000 bal­lots await­ing pro­cess­ing, but most of those are from precincts in the coun­ty that aren’t inside the 3rd Con­gres­sion­al District.

Glue­senkamp Perez’s lead yes­ter­day in Clark Coun­ty was 20,593 votes; that lead increased today to 22,106 votes even as the over­all lead shrank.

That is a very encour­ag­ing sign, because most of the out­stand­ing bal­lots are from Clark. Her­rera Beut­ler was only able to increase her advan­tage in Clark Coun­ty by a measly sev­en­teen votes over Kent on the sec­ond day of Top Two counting.

That left Her­rera Beut­ler very, very vulnerable.

If Glue­senkamp Perez does well in Clark Coun­ty in the next three counts, she stands a bet­ter chance of with­stand­ing a surge of ultra MAGA votes from Lewis and oth­er small but fierce right wing bas­tions with­in the district.

Cowlitz Coun­ty had not filed its Novem­ber 9th report at the time oth­er mass media report­ed on the day two count in the 3rd Con­gres­sion­al Dis­trict, but it now has.

In that coun­ty, which is home to com­mu­ni­ties like Kel­so and Longview, Kent has an advan­tage, but it’s not enor­mous. Ken­t’s Elec­tion Night lead in Cowlitz was 909 votes. How­ev­er, Kent more than dou­bled his Cowlitz lead today to 1,970 votes.

In reli­ably Repub­li­can Lewis Coun­ty, home to Cen­tralia and Chehalis, Ken­t’s advan­tage widened to 8,065 votes, up from 6,948 yesterday.

In Ska­ma­nia Coun­ty, Ken­t’s advan­tage went from 192 votes to 298 votes.

In Thurston Coun­ty, Ken­t’s advan­tage went from 1,696 votes to 1,775 votes.

Pacif­ic Coun­ty did not have a bal­lot drop today; there won’t be one until Mon­day. Wahki­akum also had no drop today, but one is planned for tomorrow.

Cowlitz and Lewis have only a frac­tion of the num­ber of out­stand­ing bal­lots that Clark has, so Kent will run out of run­way soon if he does­n’t make gains in Clark. Glue­senkamp Perez’s expan­sion of her Clark Coun­ty lead is a big deal. We’ll see if she can repeat that feat tomor­row, or else if not, at least hold steady.

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