With less than one week to go until General Election Day 2023, there’s mounting evidence that local Republicans and right wing groups are growing concerned that key races aren’t going to turn out in their favor. I wrote last week about how Lisa Brown’s ascendant candidacy for Mayor of Spokane has Republicans across the state spooked. Now, it appears that Republicans are also worried about the reelection prospects of right wing Snohomish County Sheriff Adam Fortney.
They have many reasons to be nervous.
It’s been rough going for Fortney as sheriff these past four years:
- He lost the Snohomish County sheriff office’s accreditation, which his predecessor Ty Trenary had worked hard to get. (Most county sheriff’s offices in the state are not accredited by the Washington Association of Sheriffs & Police Chiefs; Snohomish County was one of the few that was.)
- He ordered accountability tools put into police cars to measure officers’ driving removed, saying: “I am going to trust them to drive their car.” (The devices captured vehicle location, direction of travel, speed, braking and airbag deployment, as well as the use of emergency lights and seat belts.)
- He decided to re-hire not one, not two, but three deputies who had wisely been terminated by Trenary for misconduct. His rationale, in his own words: “I’m the new sheriff… I get to weigh in on my guys’ discipline.”
- He stupidly hired a vigilante to be a sheriff’s deputy, then when that decision was under scrutiny and criticism from the public and the press, he defended it, only to reverse course a month later after concluding it was an untenable situation that was making the sheriff’s office look bad.
- He declared he would not enforce lawful public health measures intended to protect Washingtonians from a deadly disease: SARS CoV‑2, the novel coronavirus, also known more simply as COVID-19.
And inappropriate incidents like this:
In 2019, Fortney helped organized a ridealong for Anna Rohrbough, a conservative Snohomish County Council candidate. He had donated $125 to her campaign. She gave $250 to his. The Republican candidate used photos from the ride in a Facebook post. Ridealongs were suspended after the incident.
Fortney survived two recall attempts early in his term; the logistics of getting a recall before voters proved too difficult for organizers back in 2020. But now Fortney has to face the voters of Washington’s third largest county because the four year term he was elected to in 2019 is expiring, and he wants another.
Standing in the way of his goal of a second term is his opponent Susanna Johnson, who has decades of experience working in the sheriff’s office and is notably endorsed by Fortney’s living predecessors: Ty Trenary, John Lovick, Rick Bart, and Jim Sharf, plus former interim sheriff Tom Davis.
The Herald of Everett, the largest newspaper in Snohomish County, is also backing Susanna Johnson. Though it shouldn’t have come as any surprise to anyone given Fortney’s record, the paper’s recent endorsement of Johnson — and its accountability-focused news coverage of this contest — has nevertheless really rankled local right wing commentators and media operatives.
Podcast host Brandi Kruse, for example, was so irritated that she pledged to help recruit people to wave signs for Fortney, a pledge she then made good on:
I had no intention of getting involved in the race for Snohomish County Sheriff, but the Everett Herald just made it personal. With days to go until the election, a reporter with the county’s largest newspaper did what has sadly become common in political reporting in this state. He published a piece looking to scare voters away from supporting Sheriff Adam Fortney by unfairly tying him to right-wing extremism. The reporter called Fortney a “controversial” “far-right” sheriff with (gasp) “Constitutional leanings.”
It’s no surprise when fearmongering is used in political campaigns, we see that from both the left and the right. But as a former journalist, it pains me to see this kind of divisive, one-sided rhetoric from a news organization so close to an election – and in a race where public safety should be at the heart of the conversation.
I very rarely endorse political candidates, in part because fans of our show are fiercely independent-minded and take great pride in researching candidates for themselves. I know they will do that in this race as well, and encourage everyone to research both Sheriff Fortney and his opponent, Susanna Johnson, before casting a vote.
But I simply refuse to stand back and watch a news outlet tip the scales by preying on the fears and emotions of voters. It goes against everything I stand for, and everything we’re trying to change with the show.
Please join me tomorrow, Monday October 30 from 3:30–5pm to do some good-old-fashioned sign waving for Sheriff Fortney in Lynnwood. We will meet on the corner of 196th and 44th by the Fred Meyer.
In addition to promoting a sign-waving event for Fortney, Kruse also had him on her podcast, with the goal of making Fortney look as reasonable as possible to bolster his appeal to voters in the final days leading up to the election.
In the appearance on Kruse’s show, Fortney tried to present himself as someone above partisan politics, echoing these previously reported comments: “I don’t care about Republican or Democrat… I don’t care about red team or blue team.”
On the surface, this sort of talk might seem very strange, given that Fortney is a a fierce right wing Republican, but it makes total sense to our team, because Fortney is trying to get reelected in a jurisdiction that leans Democratic and faces a no-nonsense challenger who has a ton of community support.
Right wing Republicans can parse electoral data just like anyone else, and they know that last year, Patty Murray got 57.52% of the vote in Snohomish County, despite a massively financed effort by Republicans to get Tiffany Smiley elected.
Republicans also know that their electoral coalition is changing, both in Washington State and elsewhere, having been reshaped by Donald Trump. Voters with college degrees — who are the most reliable odd-year voters — have increasingly abandoned the Republicans for the Democratic Party, the only one of the two major political parties that remains committed to American democracy.
If Democratic and Democratic-leaning Snohomish voters unite behind Susanna Johnson, Adam Fortney can’t win. It’s that simple. It’s basic electoral math in a jurisdiction like Snohomish County. Hence Fortney’s comments about professing not to care about Republican or Democrat, or claiming he’s a bipartisan guy. He needs at least some voters who lean Democratic to embrace his candidacy.
In reality, Fortney is a very, very partisan right wing Republican. I can say that with confidence because our team has been observing both his words and deeds for a very long time. A few examples that illustrate the point:
- A few months ago, Fortney brought extremist sheriff Mark Lamb of Arizona to town for a fundraiser, at which a number of guns were auctioned off. Lamb supported the January 6th insurrection and subscribes to the discredited legal theory that sheriffs are the supreme legal authority in the United States and are not required to enforce laws they believe to be unconstitutional. No “apolitical” sheriff would have brought Mark Lamb to town.
- Fortney appeared at the “Summer Freedom Fest” organized by Brian Heywood and Let’s Go Washington in July to promote one of Heywood’s right wing initiatives, specifically the one that would roll back recently passed state laws to make police pursuits safer. An “apolitical” sheriff wouldn’t be taking part in an effort organized by the Republican Party to get rid of police reform laws supported by the vast majority of voters.
- More recently, Fortney was part of a political event up in Everett organized by a right wing talk radio station, Bonneville’s AM 770 KTTH, featuring Dave Reichert, Jason Rantz, Bryan Suits, Semi Bird, State Republican Chair Jim Walsh, and… Brandi Kruse. It doubled as a publicity event for Rantz, who is hawking a book. Again, this is simply not the kind of gathering that an “apolitical” elected official would ever participate in.
It’s entirely fair, given what Fortney has said and done, to characterize Fortney as an extremist and a right wing Republican who has had a controversial tenure as Sheriff. Brandi Kruse, despite claiming to have had “no intention” of getting involved in the contest, has been invested in Fortney’s reelection all along, which is why she’s jumping so ardently to his defense now. Kruse (who appeared with Fortney at “Freedom Fest” in July) can see a reelection bid in trouble, so she’s trying to help give Fortney a last minute makeover of his campaign image.
Similarly, The Lynnwood Times’ right wing publisher Mario Lotmore wants to see Fortney reelected. Lotmore is really unhappy with the coverage Fortney has been getting, so he published this complaint-laden editorial a few days ago.
It could use a good fisking, so I’m going to go through it bit by bit.
Let’s begin:
🚨To all of our readers, when did public safety become a partisan issue?
The answer here is simple: it always has been. All issues are partisan issues. That’s what makes them issues in the first place. If there aren’t multiple sides and multiple points of view, then there’s nothing at issue. “Not/shouldn’t be a partisan issue” made an appearance on our Banished Words List a few years ago, it’s a worthless phrase that our team is tired of hearing and reading.
This morning our inbox was inundated with emails and my cellphone with 14 voicemails and 23 texts from readers frustrated at what they consider partisan propaganda perpetuated by a competing local newspaper in Snohomish County regarding the Snohomish County Sheriff’s Office race.
Those would be Fortney partisans worried about Fortney’s reelection. What were they expecting: that Fortney would be put on a pedestal by the local media?
We at the Lynnwood Times follow objective journalism and not the advocacy journalism you read so much in mainstream news outlets. This is why mainstream is failing. Because of the internet, people can read a myriad of perspectives and see through the propaganda.
We’ve scrutinized what Lotmore and his team are publishing at the Lynnwood Times and it isn’t what we’d consider objective journalism. It’s actually advocacy journalism. And that’s fine — advocacy journalism, which we also publish here on The Cascadia Advocate (note the word “Advocate” in the name!) has a rich tradition going back to before the founding of this country.
Contrary to what Lotmore claims, big media outlets aren’t in trouble because they practice advocacy journalism, or claim to adhere to the objective tradition but really don’t. Rather, the entire media industry is struggling to respond to huge economic and cultural shifts. Old business models, especially advertising-dependent ones, simply don’t work anymore. Surviving outlets large and small, including rural family-run newspapers, are all trying to find a path forward.
Mainstream news outlets should tread carefully on making safety a partisan issue. In WA state, one party has controlled the county and the state executive government for decades, incrementally passing laws hindering policing, legalizing drugs, and empowering offenders.
Again, public safety has always been a partisan issue.
As for control of the county and state governments, it’s true that Washington and Snohomish County have been mostly-Democratic run for decades. That’s because the voters keep electing Democrats to govern. But there have been a few exceptions: Republicans controlled both chambers of the Legislature in the 1990s for a while, and this century, they had a six-year stretch where they controlled the state Senate. And, of course, Adam Fortney who is the current top cop in Snohomish County, is a right wing Republican, as we’ve established.
It must be noted that it was the voters of Washington who decided to decriminalize cannabis in 2012 through an initiative to the people; the Legislature has followed their lead. And our research has found that the police reform laws lawmakers have passed more recently are very popular, including in swing counties.
The “chickens are coming home to roost,” to quote the infamous phase from Rev. Jeremiah Wright, also known as President Barack Obama’s pastor. The polls show overwhelmingly, 67% of American’s reject the defund the police rhetoric and the failed policies that we are now experiencing. So, I say again, tread carefully on making safety is a partisan issue.
Invoking Jeremiah Wright and Barack Obama’s names in an editorial about the coverage of the Snohomish County sheriff’s race is an excellent way to announce to discerning readers that you’re a right wing Republican who’s still quite mad about the outcome of the 2008 election, which Democrats won in a landslide.
As for “defund the police” rhetoric, that is nowadays arguably espoused more by fanatical right wing Republicans than anyone on the left. It never became policy around here — the police weren’t defunded. But if Trump gets back in and gets a Republican majority next year, we could see the police get defunded, starting at the federal level. Committed supporters of Donald Trump speak of needing to dismantle the FBI because they think law enforcement are out to get them.
The Department of Justice’s successful prosecution of hundreds of January 6th insurrectionists has made them very, very angry and very, very resentful.
Here is a theory… The governing party (and those elected to represent and promote that governing party) are putting ideology before public safety.
A theory?
What you meant to say was “My view is…”
The “welcoming city” and “sanctuary city” policies passed in 2017 and 2018 directing local and state law enforcement to NOT cooperate with Federal immigration enforcement, often by rejecting “detainer” requests emboldened drug cartels to establish operations in cities. Then sheriffs and DA adopted catch-and-release polices. Then we had sheriff’s and governors across the country and WA release criminal offenders because of c‑vid in 2020. During that same year in 2020, elected officials refused to call out the violence and destruction of rioting throughout WA State and allowed vigilantes to take over a portion of Seattle for weeks.
Lots of right wing gripes thrown together somewhat incoherently here.
Elected officials of the governing party allowed, and in some cases, promoted Defund the Police rhetoric. Between 2021 to 2023, lawmakers passed bills reducing sentencing and consequences for adult crimes and gang members who are minors, and let’s not forget hindering pursuit laws. DAs refused to enforce drug offenses throughout WA state. Also, because of the defund the police rhetoric that turned into legislation or policy, School Resource Officers were taken out of public-school systems throughout WA state and law enforcement personnel left the profession in droves in which we are now facing a policing shortage throughout the state and Snohomish County. The ones that are there are overworked and demoralized.
Another passage of gripes.
Notice how there’s been absolutely no discussion of:
- The murders (by police officers supposed to be keeping people safe!) of George Floyd, Breonna Taylor, Ahmaud Arbery, Manuel Ellis, and so many others, whose names could fill an entire blog post.
- The costs to taxpayers of locking people up. We’ve been investing in mass incarceration for decades, and it’s clearly not working for us.
- What’s actually in those police reform laws passed by the Legislature, which public opinion research shows voters are very supportive of.
Also, many public sector professions are presently facing personnel shortages.
Lotmore fails to concede that complex dynamics are driving trends affecting law enforcement right now. Those dynamics can be seen across the country, in Republican-run jurisdictions as well as Democratic ones.
So, I ask Snohomish County residents, who are to blame for the fentanyl epidemic, gangs in schools most likely organized and run by drug cartel proxies, surge in violent crime, youth shootings, and the fear of “public unsafety” which is our new reality?
Adam Fortney is currently in charge of the Snohomish County sheriff’s office and has been for several years. By your logic, should we just blame him?
If news outlets want to make public safety a partisan issue, then where is the assessment of the contribution to “public unsafety” by the governing party and the link of their elected officials and surrogates to that governing party. Advocacy journalism fails both the people and the profession.
There’s a saying: if you don’t like the heat, get out of the kitchen.
If partisan politics bothers you so much, maybe do something else? Also: If you don’t like advocacy journalism, why do you practice it while saying that it’s bad?
Snohomish County residents have two choices for the direction of public safety — a Sheriff candidate backed by the governing party or a Sheriff that is not?
In other words: Please vote for Adam Fortney, I’m really worried he won’t win!
The 2023 local election cycle will conclude later this month with the certification of official returns. Ballots are due back by next Tuesday, either to a drop box by 8 PM Pacific, or to a post office by the last outgoing mail collection time.
Do your part for our democracy by being a voter this year — and every year.












Friday, November 3rd, 2023
Joy Hollingsworth leads Alex Hudson for Seattle City Council District #3, NPI poll finds
Seattle City Council hopeful Joy Hollingsworth is the clear favorite in the closely-watched contest to determine a successor to outgoing Councilmember Kshama Sawant, a new Northwest Progressive Institute poll has found.
In the aggregate, 52% of 327 likely Seattle City Council District #3 voters interviewed by Change Research this week for NPI said they had voted or would be voting for Hollingsworth, while 28% said they had voted or would be voting for Alex Hudson, the other finalist for Council. 16% were not sure, 3% did not recall how they had voted, and 1% said they would not vote in the contest.
Hollingsworth and Hudson emerged from a large field of candidates back in the summer with nearly identical shares of the vote. Hollingsworth had an Election Night advantage, but Hudson caught up as the late ballots were counted.
In the end, they finished within a few dozen votes of each other: Hollingsworth had 9,690 votes (36.87%) at certification, while Hudson had 9,601 votes (36.53%). Six other candidates failed to advance: Alex Cooley, Bobby Goodwin, Ry Armstrong, Shobhit Agarwal, Andrew Ashiofu, and Efrain Hudnell.
Our survey indicates that Hollingsworth has opened up a substantial lead over Hudson since then. Hollingsworth is the choice of every group of voters in our survey except for eighteen to thirty-four year olds, who favor Hudson. Hollingsworth leads among those who have already voted (48% of the sample) as well as those who have yet to vote (51% of the sample).
Hollingsworth is a native of the Central District, one of the neighborhoods in the 3rd. She is a skilled basketball player, having played in high school, college (at the University of Arizona) and then professionally. After Washington voters decriminalized cannabis in 2012, Hollingsworth and her brother launched Hollingsworth Farms, “a family-owned and operated cannabis company located on the Olympic Peninsula.” It’s one of the few independent, Black-owned cannabis operations in the State of Washington, Hollingsworth’s campaign says.
Hollingsworth is endorsed by Seattle Mayor Bruce Harrell, King County Councilmember Girmay Zahilay, The Seattle Times, The Seattle Medium, and the Northwest Asian Weekly. (See more of her endorsements at her website).
Alex Hudson is from Redmond (NPI’s hometown!) and was raised on a small family farm in unincorporated east King County. She is a graduate of Western Washington University in Bellingham, where she founded a student club affiliated with the ACLU of Washington. She went on to lead the First Hill Improvement Association, where she worked to increase access to housing. Later, she became the executive director of Transportation Choices Coalition (TCC), which works to improve freedom of mobility, especially for those who can’t or don’t want to drive.
Hudson is endorsed by King County Councilmembers Claudia Balducci, Joe McDermott, and Rod Dembowski, as well as The Stranger, The Urbanist, and Publicola. (See more of her endorsements at her website).
Here’s the exact questions we asked and the responses we received:
Joy Hollingsworth’s name was always shown to respondents first and Alex Hudson’s name was always shown second, as that is the order the candidates are listed on the general election ballot. The candidates’ photographs from the voter’s pamphlet statement were shown to voters alongside their names.
Our survey of 327 likely 2023 Seattle City Council District #3 general election voters was in the field from Tuesday, October 31st, until today, Friday, November 3rd. The poll was conducted entirely online for the Northwest Progressive Institute by Change Research and has a modeled margin of error of 5.7%.
Follow this link if you’re interested in a detailed primer on the survey’s methodology along with information about who took the poll.
We asked follow-up questions of respondents who had already voted for both Hollingsworth and Hudson to tell us about their choice in their own words.
Hollingsworth supporters cited Harrell’s endorsement as an important consideration, along with her biography and public safety stances.
Why vote for Joy Hollingsworth?
“Her experience, she values public safety, she seems to be able to work well with stakeholders, she is supported by the mayor, I agree with her stand on issues affecting the city, she is smart and articulate, she grew up in D3 [Seattle City Council District #3],” said a strong Democratic female voter from Capitol Hill / First Hill between the ages of fifty and sixty-four.
“She has experience and great history of connections in District 3 area. And she is strongly focused on public safety, which I think should be Seattle’s highest priority,” said an independent female voter between the ages of thirty-five and forty-nine who lives in the southeastern part of the district.
“She is the better candidate. She grew up in Seattle and appears genuinely invested in the community. Not everyone with the political science degree knows what is best. I am certainly a STEM professional, but horticulture and experiential learning is extremely valuable as well,” said a strong Democratic male voter between the ages of eighteen to thirty-four from Capitol Hill / First Hill.
And here’s a few very short comments we received about Joy:
Hudson supporters cited their personal conversations with her and said she was well prepared to govern, with well thought out positions on issues like transit.
Why vote for Alex Hudson?
“I’ve met her and got a chance to talk about her views and experience and what she would do on the Council. I liked her ideas and aligned with her progressive but pragmatic views,” said a strong Democratic female voter from the southeastern part of the district between the ages of eighteen and thirty-four.
“She has a much better platform on housing and transit than her opponent, and while my views on policing don’t entirely align with Hudson’s I felt even less aligned with Hollingsworth’s focus on unrealistic hiring goals for SPD and her general exaggeration of the state of crime in Seattle,” said a strong Democratic male voter from Capitol Hill / First Hill between the ages of eighteen and thirty-four.
“That was the toughest choice on the entire ballot: Alex got my vote based on her work history with housing and transportation planning,” said a strong Democratic male voter from Capitol Hill / First Hill between the ages of fifty and sixty-four. (Emphasis is the respondent’s.)
And here’s a few very short comments we received about Alex:
Hollingsworth’s strength in the survey stems from her appeal to many groups of voters. She has majority support among strong Democrats, independents, and Republicans, for example, which is impressive. We just don’t see that very often.
She also has the support of 62% of respondents in Madrona, Leschi, and the Central District and the support of 58% of respondents in Montlake, Madison Park, Madison Valley, Portage Bay, and Eastlake. On Capitol Hill and First Hill, it’s a closer contest, but Hollingsworth leads there, too, with 44% to Hudson’s 33%.
Polls can’t predict electoral outcomes, they can only suggest what might happen, but these survey results are a certainly compelling piece of evidence that Hollingsworth’s campaign is resonating with voters and is on track to prevail.
You might have noticed earlier that 48% of our sample has already voted, while 51% have yet to vote. Historically, in our polling, the already voted subsample has been a good indicator of how the results will turn out, because people who have already voted have come to a decision they can tell us about.
It’s not uncommon in nonpartisan local races for a lot of people to be unsure who they are going to support right up until they sit down to vote. We’ve published, on many occasions, poll findings in which the largest group of voters were undecided. We’re very comfortable having a sample in which a substantial number of voters report that they have already voted (which, it should be noted, is not the same thing as having returned a ballot — that’s a subsequent step!)
And remember, we saw a lead for Hollingsworth among those who haven’t voted, too. Hollingsworth also picked up far more support than Alex Hudson did when we nudged not sure voters in the not-yet-voted group to make a decision.
Our colleague Ben Sullivan of Change Research, who oversaw the fielding of this survey for the Northwest Progressive Institute, noted: “We aren’t seeing a fundamental difference in the views of people who have already voted and those who have not yet voted, so even if those who have already voted are overrepresented here, it shouldn’t skew the outcomes much.”
Two years ago, NPI commissioned Change Research to handle the fielding for our inaugural polls of the Seattle electorate. In seven out of seven citywide contests, the candidate who led in our October 2021 survey of the electorate went on to win. More analysis is available in this Cascadia Advocate post.
Later today, we’ll bring you more findings from our preelection poll of Seattle City Council District #3, including voters’ views on the housing levy!
# Written by Andrew Villeneuve :: 12:22 PM
Categories: Elections
Tags: Research Poll Findings, WA-Cities
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