NPI's Cascadia Advocate

Offering commentary and analysis from Washington, Oregon, and Idaho, The Cascadia Advocate is the Northwest Progressive Institute's uplifting perspective on world, national, and local politics.

Thursday, November 10th, 2022

Kim Schrier wins: Associated Press, Seattle Times project Democratic victory in WA-08

Unit­ed States Rep­re­sen­ta­tive Kim Schri­er will be return­ing to Con­gress for a third con­sec­u­tive term rep­re­sent­ing the geo­graph­ic heart of Wash­ing­ton State, The Asso­ci­at­ed Press and The Seat­tle Times pro­ject­ed today.

After three counts, Schri­er remains more than ten thou­sand votes ahead of Repub­li­can chal­lenger Matt Larkin, who unsuc­cess­ful­ly ran for Attor­ney Gen­er­al two years ago against Demo­c­ra­t­ic incum­bent Bob Ferguson.

Larkin is the third Repub­li­can can­di­date to be van­quished by Schri­er in what is the state’s only “tossup” con­gres­sion­al dis­trict. Schri­er pre­vi­ous­ly defeat­ed peren­ni­al can­di­date Dino Rossi in 2018 and then beat Jesse Jensen in 2020.

The 8th Con­gres­sion­al Dis­trict was con­tin­u­ous­ly held by Repub­li­cans from its for­ma­tion until the 2018 midterms, when the Demo­c­ra­t­ic Par­ty made cap­tur­ing it a top pri­or­i­ty. Schri­er — a pedi­a­tri­cian from Issaquah who has worked extreme­ly hard to rep­re­sent com­mu­ni­ties on both sides of the Cas­cades — made pro­tect­ing repro­duc­tive rights and invest­ing in pub­lic safe­ty her key 2022 themes.

“I am hon­ored to rep­re­sent this dis­trict once again in Con­gress,” said Rep­re­sen­ta­tive Schri­er in a vic­to­ry state­ment. “This elec­tion was a choice about who this dis­trict wants as their voice in the oth­er Wash­ing­ton. I am thrilled that our work to bring down costs, pro­tect a wom­an’s right to choose, and sup­port local police res­onat­ed with peo­ple across the 8th dis­trict. We have more work to do and you can count on me to con­tin­ue to deliv­er results for this district.”

“Repub­li­cans attacked the Con­gress­woman on the air­waves for months and spent over $8 mil­lion in their efforts to flip this seat, with noth­ing to show for it,” said an elat­ed Hana Tadesse, Schri­er’s cam­paign spokesper­son. “The vot­ers of the eighth dis­trict made it clear who they want rep­re­sent­ing them. This deci­sive vic­to­ry proved there is no one bet­ter suit­ed for the job than Kim.”

The DCCC swift­ly chimed in with its congratulations.

“Con­grat­u­la­tions to Con­gress­woman Kim Schri­er on her re-elec­tion,” said Rep­re­sen­ta­tive Sean Patrick Mal­oney, who was unsuc­cess­ful in his own campaign.

“Con­gress­woman Schri­er has proven to be an inde­pen­dent and effec­tive voice for the peo­ple of Washington’s 8th Con­gres­sion­al Dis­trict. She has got­ten thir­teen bills signed into law since tak­ing office, includ­ing leg­is­la­tion to low­er the cost of pre­scrip­tion drugs like insulin, and has always stood up for a woman’s right to make her own health care deci­sions. I’m con­fi­dent that she will con­tin­ue this impor­tant work on behalf of Wash­ing­ton fam­i­lies in Congress.”

An unre­leased June 2022 NPI poll of the 8th Con­gres­sion­al Dis­trict sug­gest­ed that Schri­er would have a three point advan­tage over Larkin in a hypo­thet­i­cal gen­er­al elec­tion matchup. Schri­er’s cur­rent mar­gin of vic­to­ry is just over four points.

As in pre­vi­ous cycles, Schri­er’s win was pow­ered by sub­ur­ban and exur­ban King Coun­ty, where she has 62.19% of the vote. Though she isn’t win­ning any of the coun­ties east of the moun­tains, she’s doing bet­ter than a Demo­c­ra­t­ic can­di­date usu­al­ly does, which is also con­tribut­ing to her advan­tage over Larkin. In fact, Schri­er has a high­er per­cent­age of the vote in Dou­glas, Kit­ti­tas, and Chelan coun­ties than she does in the Pierce Coun­ty WA-08 precincts.

Democ­rats ham­mered Larkin relent­less­ly for say­ing that “this isn’t the year for mod­er­a­tion” and idol­iz­ing ultra MAGA extrem­ist Mar­jorie Tay­lor Greene. Larkin also caught flak for argu­ing that Wash­ing­ton’s min­i­mum wage should be low­ered.

Larkin attempt­ed to por­tray him­self as rea­son­able and thought­ful in his only debate with Schri­er, but stum­bled a few times, includ­ing when he said he “con­doned” the attack on Paul Pelosi instead of say­ing that he “con­demned” it.

Repub­li­cans had hoped to take WA-08 as part of a “red wave” night.

But instead, it was Schri­er and her team who cel­e­brat­ed hav­ing a healthy lead on Elec­tion Night and anoth­er empow­er­ing vic­to­ry to look for­ward to.

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