NPI's Cascadia Advocate

Offering commentary and analysis from Washington, Oregon, and Idaho, The Cascadia Advocate is the Northwest Progressive Institute's unconventional perspective on world, national, and local politics.

Thursday, June 16th, 2016

Hillary Clinton easily leads Donald Trump in Washington State, new NPI poll finds

Pre­sump­tive Demo­c­ra­t­ic nom­i­nee Hillary Clin­ton has a dou­ble dig­it lead over pre­sump­tive Repub­li­can nom­i­nee Don­ald Trump, accord­ing to a sur­vey con­duct­ed this week by Pub­lic Pol­i­cy Polling for the North­west Pro­gres­sive Insti­tute.

The sur­vey asked respon­dents:

If the can­di­dates for Pres­i­dent this fall were Demo­c­rat Hillary Clin­ton and Repub­li­can Don­ald Trump, who would you vote for?

49% said they would vote for Hillary Clin­ton, while 37% said they would vote for Don­ald Trump. 13% said they were not sure.

This sur­vey of 679 like­ly Wash­ing­ton State vot­ers was in the field from June 14th-15th, 2016; all respon­dents par­tic­i­pat­ed via land­line. The poll has a mar­gin of error of +/- 3.8% at the 95% con­fi­dence lev­el.

These results are not sur­pris­ing, as Wash­ing­ton is con­sid­ered to be a blue state. Wash­ing­ton vot­ers have sup­port­ed the Demo­c­ra­t­ic nom­i­nee for Pres­i­dent in every elec­tion going back to 1988. Michael Dukakis, Al Gore, and John Ker­ry each car­ried the state, and so did Bill Clin­ton and Barack Oba­ma — twice.

The results of last mon­th’s pres­i­den­tial pri­ma­ry show that Clin­ton and Trump are also Wash­ing­to­ni­ans’ top choic­es to be the 2016 nom­i­nees of the Demo­c­ra­t­ic and Repub­li­can par­ties. Hillary Clin­ton received 52.38% of the vote on the Demo­c­ra­t­ic side, while Trump received 75.46% of the vote on the Repub­li­can side.

Repub­li­cans are using the pri­ma­ry results to allo­cate all of their nation­al con­ven­tion del­e­gates. The Demo­c­ra­t­ic Par­ty opt­ed not to use the pri­ma­ry results, and instead uti­lized cau­cus­es to deter­mine how many del­e­gates each can­di­date would receive.

Repub­li­cans recent­ly held their state con­ven­tion in the Tri-Cities and select­ed their del­e­gates. Most of those del­e­gates per­son­al­ly favor Ted Cruz, but under cur­rent Repub­li­can rules, are required to vote for Don­ald Trump on the first bal­lot.

Demo­c­ra­t­ic con­gres­sion­al-lev­el del­e­gates were select­ed on May 21st (I was cho­sen as a del­e­gate for Bernie Sanders from WA-01). The state’s at-large and PLEO del­e­gates will be cho­sen this week­end by those mem­bers of the Wash­ing­ton State Demo­c­ra­t­ic Cen­tral Com­mit­tee who rep­re­sent a leg­isla­tive dis­trict.

I rep­re­sent the 45th Leg­isla­tive Dis­trict on the WSDCC, so I will be spend­ing most of my Sun­day lis­ten­ing to speech­es by peo­ple who wish to rep­re­sent our fine state in Philadel­phia for either Hillary Clin­ton or Bernie Sanders.

As a reminder, NPI will be offer­ing live cov­er­age of this week­end’s 2016 Wash­ing­ton State Demo­c­ra­t­ic Con­ven­tion in Taco­ma. Join us here on the Cas­ca­dia Advo­cate to keep track of all of the goings-on live from the City of Des­tiny. And be sure to join us ear­ly next week as well, because we’ll be releas­ing more results from this sur­vey.

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