Read NPI’s analysis of a fatally flawed March 2024 survey conducted by a Virginia-based, Republican aligned polling firm for a right wing group hoping to influence media coverage of Washington State’s 2024 gubernatorial race.
Tag: Poll Watch
Posted inElections
Poll Watch: Like NPI, Elway finds 2024 WA gubernatorial race looking competitive
Asked about this year’s gubernatorial race, a total of 37% of the respondents said they either intended to vote for Democratic frontrunner Bob Ferguson, or could vote for him, while a total of 31% said they either intended to vote for Republican frontrunner Dave Reichert, or could vote for him
Posted inElections
Poll Watch: Thoughts on the New York Times / Siena College’s battleground state polling
Read the NPI team’s thoughts on a set of polls commissioned by The New York Times that fielded in battleground states in October of 2023, about one year before the home stretch of the 2024 presidential election.
Posted inLegislative Advocacy
Putting a right wing poll of Washington State under the microscope: An evaluation of Echelon/Future42’s spring 2023 survey
This detailed analysis examines the flaws of a statewide public opinion research survey released by a right wing group in Washington State in late June of 2023.
Posted inElections
Poll Watch: KOMO/Strategies 360 confirms Patty Murray has double digit lead; Hobbs and Anderson tied for Secretary of State
Washington’s Democratic U.S. Senator Patty Murray continues to enjoy a double digit lead over Republican challenger Tiffany Smiley, while Secretary of State hopefuls Steve Hobbs and Julie Anderson are tied at 38% apiece with less than a month until the midterms, a new poll from Strategies 360 and KOMO has found.
Posted inElections
Poll Watch: Elway finds solid lead for Murray; Steve Hobbs barely ahead of Julie Anderson
With less than a month until ballots drop, Elway Research has found a thirteen point lead for Democrats in Washington’s 2022 U.S. Senate race along with a statistical tie in the Secretary of State contest.
Posted inElections
Poll Watch: Trafalgar tries to bolster Tiffany Smiley’s longshot challenge to Patty Murray
Subjective organizations are perfectly capable of carrying out objective research, but it appears that Trafalgar’s goal here (given their decision to publish these unsupportable figures) is to bolster Smiley’s longshot candidacy, rather than making a credible contribution to the body of public opinion research in this race.
Posted inElections
Poll Watch: Crosscut/Elway finds twenty point lead for Patty Murray and Democrats
For the second time in as many weeks, a new poll has been released that correlates NPI’s recent statewide poll findings demonstrating that it’s the Democratic Party that is heading into the midterms in Washington State with momentum and vote enthusiasm.
Posted inPolicy Topics
SurveyUSA validates NPI’s finding that most Washingtonians want an assault weapons ban
The validity of NPI’s assault weapons ban research has been affirmed by an entirely separate poll backed by KING5, The Seattle Times, the University of Washington’s Center for an Informed Public, and Washington State University’s Murrow College of Communication.
Posted inElections
Poll Watch: SurveyUSA finds Patty Murray ahead of Tiffany Smiley by eighteen points
51% of five hundred and ninety-six likely voters interviewed online from July 6th through July 10th by SurveyUSA expressed support for Murray, while 33% backed Smiley and 16% were undecided. It’s the best spread Murray has gotten in public polling this year.
Posted inElections
Poll Watch: Elway Research assesses Seattle’s citywide races one month before ballots drop
The survey, conducted from September 7th-9th, 2021, shows Bruce Harrell leading for Mayor, Ann Davison leading for City Attorney, and Teresa Mosqueda and Sara Nelson leading for City Council, with many voters undecided.
Posted inElections
New SurveyUSA poll finds support for Jay Inslee going up as scammer Tim Eyman slips
Support for Jay Inslee’s reelection has climbed to 50% as of May 2020, up from 39% in January 2020, while Tim Eyman is down from 11% to 8%.
Posted inParty Politics
Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden are running dead even in Washington State, new poll finds
The Washington State presidential primary looks extremely competitive with just seventy-two hours left to vote. Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden have nearly identical numbers in a new public opinion research survey taken before Elizabeth Warren suspended her campaign.
Posted inParty Politics
New survey from NPI partner PPP gives Joe Biden a comfortable lead in South Carolina
Public Policy Polling found the former Vice President and Bernie Sanders are in the lead in the Palmetto State. No other candidate registered support in the double digits.