NPI's Cascadia Advocate

Offering commentary and analysis from Washington, Oregon, and Idaho, The Cascadia Advocate is the Northwest Progressive Institute's unconventional perspective on world, national, and local politics.

Thursday, May 21st, 2015

Poll Watch: Jay Inslee holds sizable lead over Andy Hill and Bill Bryant, PPP finds

Respect­ed pub­lic opin­ion research firm Pub­lic Pol­i­cy Polling has just pub­lished the results of a poll it recent­ly con­duct­ed in Wash­ing­ton on 2016 races and vot­er atti­tudes towards back­ground checks on gun sales, mar­i­jua­na, and mar­riage free­dom. It finds that both Gov­er­nor Jay Inslee and Sen­a­tor Pat­ty Mur­ray are in excel­lent shape for reelec­tion, lead­ing all poten­tial Repub­li­can opponents.

The poll (PDF) sur­veyed eight hun­dred and sev­en­ty-nine reg­is­tered vot­ers from May 14th to May 17th, yield­ing a mar­gin of error of plus or minus 3.3%. 80% of inter­views were con­duct­ed over the phone and 20% were inter­viewed over the Inter­net to reach respon­dents with­out land­line phones.

PPP found that both Bill Bryant and Andy Hill have very low statewide recog­ni­tion. Most vot­ers sur­veyed did­n’t know enough about either to give an opin­ion. Vot­ers are split about equal­ly on Inslee’s job per­for­mance, with 41% say­ing they approve and 42% say­ing they dis­ap­prove (a sta­tis­ti­cal tie).

Asked to choose between Inslee and Bryant, 46% said they would pick Inslee and 34% said they would pick Bryant.

Inter­est­ing­ly, Hill fared even worse. 45% said they would pick Inslee in an Inslee-Hill race, while only 31% said they would pick Hill.

Con­gress­man Dave Reichert has bet­ter name recog­ni­tion than Bryant or Hill, but does only as well as Bryant against Inslee, gar­ner­ing 34% to Inslee’s 45%.

PPP also test­ed a McKenna/Inslee matchup for 2016. McKen­na does bet­ter than Hill or Bryant in a hypo­thet­i­cal rematch, but still trails Inslee by five points (43% to 38%), which PPP points out is more than he lost by in 2012.

Pat­ty Mur­ray, mean­while, is in good shape too, with 47% approv­ing of her job per­for­mance to 39% who don’t approve. Mur­ray beats out Dave Reichert, Jaime Her­rera-Beut­ler, and Cathy McMor­ris Rodgers by more than ten points each. Per­haps not sur­pris­ing­ly, she does the best against McMor­ris Rodgers.

In a hypo­thet­i­cal matchup with Rob McKen­na for U.S. Sen­ate, Mur­ray pre­vails by five points (46% to 41%) over the for­mer Attor­ney Gen­er­al, just like Inslee.

While this polling sug­gests that McKen­na would be the strongest can­di­date the Repub­li­cans could field in 2016 for either gov­er­nor or U.S. sen­a­tor, it does­n’t appear that he is inter­est­ed in either race. Repub­li­cans might want him to step up to the plate again, but he may have no desire to end up as the next Dino Rossi, which is under­stand­able. Bryant is already run­ning against Inslee, with Hill soon to join him, but Repub­li­cans still need to find a can­di­date to chal­lenge Murray.

It’ll be hard to find some­one who can beat Michael Baum­gart­ner’s ane­mic num­bers from 2012 against Maria Cantwell, con­sid­er­ing how thin the par­ty’s bench is.

PPP also found that Wash­ing­ton vot­ers feel very good about their recent deci­sions to legal­ize mar­i­jua­na, require uni­ver­sal back­ground checks on gun sales, and allow all cou­ples to mar­ry regard­less of sex­u­al orientation.

56% of respon­dents sup­port mar­riage equal­i­ty and mar­i­jua­na legal­iza­tion, while 68% of vot­ers sup­port uni­ver­sal back­ground checks on gun sales.

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One Comment

  1. Politi­cians who con­tin­ue to demo­nize Mar­i­jua­na, Cor­rupt Law Enforce­ment Offi­cials who pre­fer to ruin peo­ples lives over Mar­i­jua­na pos­ses­sion rather than solve real crimes who fund their depart­ments toys and salaries with monies acquired through Mar­i­jua­na home raids, seizures and for­fei­tures, and so-called “Addic­tion Spe­cial­ists” who make their income off of the judi­cial mis­for­tunes of our cit­i­zens who choose mar­i­jua­na, — Your actions go against The Will of The Peo­ple and Your Days Are Num­bered! Find new careers before you don’t have one. 

    The Peo­ple have spo­ken! Get on-board with Mar­i­jua­na Legal­iza­tion Nation­wide, or be left behind and find new careers. Your choice.

    Legal­ize Mar­i­jua­na Nationwide!

    The “War on Mar­i­jua­na” has been a com­plete and utter fail­ure. It is the largest com­po­nent of the broad­er yet equal­ly unsuc­cess­ful “War on Drugs” that has cost our coun­try over a tril­lion dollars.

    Instead of The Unit­ed States wast­ing Bil­lions upon Bil­lions more of our tax dol­lars fight­ing a nev­er end­ing “War on Mar­i­jua­na”, lets gen­er­ate Bil­lions of dol­lars, and improve the deficit instead. It’s a no brainer.

    The Pro­hi­bi­tion of Mar­i­jua­na has also ruined the lives of many of our loved ones. In num­bers greater than any oth­er nation, our loved ones are being sent to jail and are being giv­en per­ma­nent crim­i­nal records which ruin their chances of employ­ment for the rest of their lives, and for what reason?

    Mar­i­jua­na is much safer to con­sume than alco­hol. Yet do we lock peo­ple up for choos­ing to drink?

    Even The Pres­i­dent of the Unit­ed States has used mar­i­jua­na. Has it hurt his chances at suc­ceed­ing in life? If he had got­ten caught by the police dur­ing his col­lege years, he may have very well still been in prison today! Beyond that, he would then be for­tu­nate to even be able to find a min­i­mum wage job that would con­sid­er hir­ing him with a per­ma­nent crim­i­nal record.Let’s end this hypocrisy now!

    The gov­ern­ment should nev­er attempt to leg­is­late moral­i­ty by cre­at­ing vic­tim-less mar­i­jua­na “crimes” because it sim­ply does not work and costs the tax­pay­ers a fortune.

    Mar­i­jua­na Legal­iza­tion Nation­wide is an inevitable real­i­ty that’s approach­ing much soon­er than pro­hi­bi­tion­ists think and there is noth­ing they can do to stop it!

    Legal­ize Nation­wide! Sup­port Each and Every Mar­i­jua­na Legal­iza­tion Initiative!

    # by Brian Kelly :: May 21st, 2015 at 12:59 PM