NPI's Cascadia Advocate

Offering commentary and analysis from Washington, Oregon, and Idaho, The Cascadia Advocate is the Northwest Progressive Institute's uplifting perspective on world, national, and local politics.

Tag Archives: WA-Sen

Republicans in Washington State cannot just ignore King County and expect to win

Excerpt: Republican candidates can win statewide, but that means they need to appeal to voters in King County, because, despite new party chairman Jim Walsh's claims, there just are not enough votes in Eastern Washington to overturn King County’s whims.
Written by:McCauley Pugh
Categories:Elections, Party Politics
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Raul Garcia exits gubernatorial race in favor of Dave Reichert, will run for U.S. Senate

Excerpt: ”I think it would be fiscally irresponsible… for all my donors and for all of Dave’s donors for that matter to get in a 12-round heavyweight dog fight with him… when we share so many ideals and so many values of the same,” Garcia said in remarks broadcast by KING5.
Written by:Andrew Villeneuve
Categories:Elections
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Maria Cantwell retains fifteen point lead over hypothetical opponent Jaime Herrera Beutler

Excerpt: The incumbent Democratic senator continues to enjoy a fifteen point lead over hypothetical Republican opponent Jaime Herrera Beutler, a margin unchanged from our last survey back in March.
Written by:Andrew Villeneuve
Categories:Elections
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Democrats in Washington lost ground with Latino voters despite 2022 wins, data shows

Excerpt: Democ­rats in Washington declared the 2022 cycle a resounding vic­to­ry, but a 17% decline in sup­port with­in the state's fastest-grow­ing minor­i­ty group spells trou­ble for the party's future.
Written by:Andrew Hong
Categories:Elections, Party Politics
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NYT admits its midterms coverage was wrongly wedded to a “red wave” narrative

Excerpt: "Not for the first time, a warped understanding of the contours of a national election had come to dominate the views of political operatives, donors, journalists and, in some cases, the candidates themselves," the story penned by the trio of Jim Rutenberg, Ken Bensinger, and Steve Eder acknowledged.
Written by:Andrew Villeneuve
Categories:Elections, Media & Culture
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The November midterm results are (mostly) in. How do they compare to our 2022 polling?

Excerpt: In this retrospective, NPI's founder and executive director assesses what our 2022 electoral poll findings were able to tell us about state and county-level races on the midterms ballot.
Written by:Andrew Villeneuve
Categories:Elections
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How American women caught up with Mitch McConnell and obstructionist Republicans

Excerpt: While the price they paid is steep, American women have delivered a comeuppance to Mitch McConnell. The Senate Republican leader sowed the wind in February of 2016. He is reaping the whirlwind in 2022.
Written by:Joel Connelly
Categories:Elections
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Republican Tiffany Smiley concedes defeat to Democratic U.S. Senator Patty Murray

Excerpt: "This evening I reached out to Senator Murray and her campaign to congratulate her on her victory after a hard-fought race," said Smiley. "I cannot thank my family, my team and the wonderful people of Washington state enough for their support over the past 18 months."
Written by:Andrew Villeneuve
Categories:Elections
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Patty Murray, Kim Schrier, Steve Hobbs improve in second count of 2022 midterms

Excerpt: The Washington State Democratic Party's three highest profile 2022 candidates each managed to build on their strong Election Night performance on the second day of counting, putting more distance between themselves and their opponents. 
Written by:Andrew Villeneuve
Categories:Elections
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Patty Murray’s King County advantage is important, but Snohomish is the bellwether

Excerpt: The key to Democratic electoral resilience in Washington State isn't just King County. Rather, it's the ability to consistently carry important swing counties like Snohomish, Whatcom, or Thurston.
Written by:Andrew Villeneuve
Categories:Elections
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Patty Murray has the support of almost seven in ten voters in King County, NPI poll finds

Excerpt: Washington State's senior Democratic senator remains well positioned for reelection thanks to enthusiastic support from voters in the state's largest county, a late homestretch poll conducted for NPI has found.
Written by:Andrew Villeneuve
Categories:Elections
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For those who want to play the ratings game: WA-Sen is “Likely Democratic”, not “tossup”

Excerpt: Credible polling indicates that a Patty Murray victory is the most plausible outcome of this contest. That was the case before RealClearPolitics pronounced it a "tossup" and it's the case now. 
Written by:Andrew Villeneuve
Categories:Elections
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Patty Murray’s double digit lead over Tiffany Smiley continues as October voting begins

Excerpt: Asked about their preferences in this year's Senate race from October 19th-20th, 52% of 782 likely 2022 Washington State voters said they planned to vote for Murray. 42% said they planned to vote for Republican challenger Tiffany Smiley.
Written by:Andrew Villeneuve
Categories:Elections
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Poll Watch: KOMO/Strategies 360 confirms Patty Murray has double digit lead; Hobbs and Anderson tied for Secretary of State

Excerpt: Washington's Democratic U.S. Senator Patty Murray continues to enjoy a double digit lead over Republican challenger Tiffany Smiley, while Secretary of State hopefuls Steve Hobbs and Julie Anderson are tied at 38% apiece with less than a month until the midterms, a new poll from Strategies 360 and KOMO has found. 
Written by:Andrew Villeneuve
Categories:Elections
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