Red state Republicans were singing the blues Tuesday night as Democrats and progressives won two marquee races in an odd-year election seen as indicative of national trends going into the 2024 presidential election.
Democratic Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear won a second term in a state that ex-President Trump carried by a twenty-six-point margin in 2020.
In Ohio, twice carried by Trump, voters enshrined abortion rights in the state constitution, in an election that saw enormous turnout for an odd-year vote.
Beshear won over Attorney General Daniel Cameron, a protégé of senior Bluegrass Sen. Mitch McConnell. The Democratic incumbent rarely mentioned President Biden during the campaign, but ran on such Biden Administration achievements as the Infrastructure package. A symbol of success is rebuilding a vital bridge that connects Cincinnati with its Kentucky suburbs.
The abortion battle in Ohio saw the state’s Republican rulers pulling out all the stops to secure a “No” vote. They put a constitutional amendment on the ballot in August to require a sixty percent affirmative vote to amend the state constitution.
It was rejected. They used ballot language borrowed from the right-to-life movement, implying that the measure legalizes late term abortion.
The measure makes a difference in the lives of Ohio women.
The Republican-dominated state legislature passed a measure banning the procedure after six weeks. Its implementation was stayed by a state court.
Proposition One, the enshrining amendment which passed, restores a standard of fetal viability of twenty-two to twenty-four weeks.
Abortion is permitted later in a pregnancy, on advice of a physician “to protect a patient’s life or health.” The measure also enshrines the right to contraception and fertility treatments. Opponents raised a smokescreen of issues, such as teenagers getting sex-change surgery without approval of parents.
Pro-reproductive rights forces have now prevailed in seven out of seven statewide votes on abortion rights held since the U.S. Supreme Court’s Hobbs ruling which overturned Roe v. Wade and rescinded the nationwide right to abortion.
Victories have not only come in Democratic-leaning states, Michigan and California, but in deep red states of Kansas, Kentucky and now Ohio.
The pro-liberty cause is expected to be on the ballot next year in states of Arizona, Florida and Missouri. The abortion care issue has spurred turnout, especially among Gen. Z and millennial voters.
Abortion was also a major issue in Virginia’s legislative elections, where the state’s colleges saw lineups of student voters. Democrats were ahead in the early count, and eventually got the wins they were looking for. Not only will they retain control of the state Senate, they’ve also regained control of the House of Delegates.
That means Governor Glenn Youngkin’s plans to enact a fifteen-week abortion ban and gut environmental protection laws are kaput.
Republicans had touted Youngkin’s ability to “neutralize” the abortion issue, and spoken of him as a potential late entrant into the 2024 presidential race.
Democrats retained a U.S. House seat in Rhode Island, giving the D’s a 213th seat in the 435-member House. A Democrat, City Council member Cherelle Jackson, became the first woman elected mayor of Philadelphia.
Another Democrat, twenty-seven year-old Army Ranger veteran Brandon Sakbun, unseated a Republican mayor in Terre Haute, Indiana.
Beshear, in Kentucky, offered a kind of reprise of last year’s surprising Democratic showing in the 2022 midterm elections.
He supported abortion rights. He took a strong stand during the COVID-19 outbreak and has led the state toward recovery from the pandemic. He handled major climate catastrophes of flooding and tornado damage.
Beshear made a point, too, of courting rural constituencies which have deserted the Democratic Party in recent years, rather on a model seen in this state with Representative Marie Gluesenkamp-Perez.
Cameron was carrying rural counties, but with a percentage five to eight points below the Republican governor unseated by Beshear in 2019.
Beshear won that race by a paper-thin margin of 5,000 votes.
President Biden’s job approval ratings have hovered in the low forties, a poll rating which has led to newspaper headlines about worried Democrats and FNC stories from Rupert Murdoch’s propaganda channel on party divisions. But the Democrats have done well when the voters have had the chance to speak. A trio of big-ticket achievements – the American Rescue Plan, Infrastructure and the Inflation Reduction Act – have brought tangible benefits, from rebuild of the Ohio River bridge to giving Whatcom County a new ferry to serve Lummi Island.
The Republicans’ lone significant victory, as of mid-evening on Tuesday, was flipping the mayor’s office in Manchester, New Hampshire.