It’s looking increasingly likely that the coming November runoff for Seattle City Attorney will not include incumbent Pete Holmes, who our polling previously indicated was in serious danger of being eliminated in the Top Two election.
This afternoon, in the latest drop from King County Elections, Holmes slid to third place in the contest, behind Nicole Thomas-Kennedy and Ann Davison.
Davison — a Republican who previously ran for Lieutenant Governor but did not make it to the general election — has narrowly led since Election Night, with Holmes in second place. Holmes held on to that second place spot in yesterday’s drop, which was fairly small. But now, with today’s much larger drop, he has relinquished that second place spot to his other challenger.
Having traded places with Thomas-Kennedy, who is running on a platform of abolishing as much of the criminal justice system as possible, Holmes is now on the brink of elimination. If tomorrow’s count doesn’t at least tilt in his favor, he may be out of luck, because the number of ballots left to count will dwindle pretty rapidly after Friday. (According to KCE’s report, there are 142,000 total ballots waiting to be counted now, not all of which are in Seattle.)
It’s entirely possible that Thomas-Kennedy will simply pull further away from Holmes in the next few counts. The swing in NTK’s favor was pretty pronounced today, and that was just a single drop, albeit a large one.
Here are the current numbers in the City Attorney race:
Seattle City Attorney, as of Thursday, August 5th, 2021
- Ann Davison: 34.5% (43,859 votes)
- Nicole Thomas-Kennedy: 33.19% (42,196 votes)
- Pete Holmes: 32.02% (40,705 votes)
On Election Night, Holmes was ahead of NTK by five hundred and fifty-six votes. Yesterday, the gap shrank ever so slightly to five hundred and fifty one votes. Today, NTK erased it entirely, and overtook Holmes.
NTK’s newly minted lead over Holmes is 1,491 votes.
The race is still too close to call, but again, Holmes’ chances of getting through just don’t look good at all. That’s a scenario Holmes himself seems to have come to grips with, having told reporters that he is at peace with whatever happens.