Fun­da­men­tal­ist Rick San­to­rum (a for­mer U.S. Sen­a­tor) and Repub­li­can estab­lish­ment favorite Mitt Rom­ney (a for­mer gov­er­nor) have pre­vailed in the first nom­i­nat­ing con­test of 2012, results released by the Iowa Repub­li­can Par­ty show. With 99% of the vote count­ed, Rom­ney and San­to­rum were almost exact­ly tied, sep­a­rat­ed by only a hand­ful of votes, while Ron Paul trailed in third place.

Michelle Bach­mann brought up the rear, fin­ish­ing last with 5% of the vote, behind Rick Per­ry and Newt Gin­grich, who received 10.3% and 13.3%, respec­tive­ly. A few cau­cus­go­ers vot­ed for Her­man Cain and Jon Hunts­man, but Cain has left the race and Hunts­man opt­ed not to cam­paign in Iowa at all.

As of 10 PM Pacif­ic Time, here were the results:

  1. Rick San­to­rum: 29,908 votes/24.6%
  2. Mitt Rom­ney: 29,874 votes/24.5%
  3. Ron Paul: 26,097 /21.4%
  4. Newt Gin­grich: 16,161/13.3%
  5. Rick Per­ry: 12,536/10.3%
  6. Michele Bach­mann: 6,056/5.0%

Rom­ney and San­to­rum have been trad­ing the lead for much of the night, but nei­ther has been able to pull away from the oth­er. With near­ly all of the votes count­ed, the cau­cus looks like it will end in a draw… an out­come that boosts both can­di­dates, but par­tic­u­lar­ly San­to­rum, who has far less mon­ey and noto­ri­ety than his rivals. San­to­rum is wast­ing no time in leav­ing for New Hamp­shire; he has at least one town hall planned for each of the next few days, sand­wiched between media inter­views and pri­vate fundrais­ing events.

Rick Per­ry, mean­while, said he would return to Texas to assess his next steps.

Ron Paul, not sur­pris­ing­ly, vowed that his cam­paign would con­tin­ue, and sug­gest­ed that San­to­rum’s momen­tum would dis­ap­pear, mak­ing the Repub­li­can nom­i­nat­ing fight a con­test between him­self and Mitt Rom­ney. Here’s what his nation­al cam­paign chair­man (Jesse Ben­ton) had to say about the Iowa cau­cus results:

The Ron Paul cam­paign is cel­e­brat­ing a great vic­to­ry tonight.

There were three tick­ets out of Iowa, and Ron Paul earned one of them.

One of the three tick­ets, the one belong­ing to Rick San­to­rum, is a dead-end due to Santorum’s weak fundrais­ing and lack of nation­al cam­paign organization.

This is now a two way race between estab­lish­ment can­di­date Mitt Rom­ney and the can­di­date for real change, Ron Paul.

Ron Paul has a top notch nation­al orga­ni­za­tion, tremen­dous fundrais­ing prowess, and unequaled enthu­si­asm among his vol­un­teers and supporters.

Dr. Paul has tak­en the first step towards earn­ing the del­e­gates it will take to be the GOP nom­i­nee and is the only can­di­date not named Mitt Rom­ney with the abil­i­ty to do so.

Ron Paul is now off to New Hamp­shire, South Car­oli­na, Louisiana, Neva­da, Maine, North Dako­ta, Wash­ing­ton, Col­orado, and beyond.

See you on the cam­paign trail.

The next nom­i­nat­ing con­test will take place in one week, in New Hamp­shire. The Gran­ite State’s pri­ma­ry will then be fol­lowed by South Car­oli­na’s on Sat­ur­day, Jan­u­ary 21st, and Flori­da’s, on Tues­day, Jan­u­ary 31st.

About the author

Andrew Villeneuve is the founder and executive director of the Northwest Progressive Institute, as well as the founder of NPI's sibling, the Northwest Progressive Foundation. He has worked to advance progressive causes for over two decades as a strategist, speaker, author, and organizer. Andrew is also a cybersecurity expert, a veteran facilitator, a delegate to the Washington State Democratic Central Committee, and a member of the Climate Reality Leadership Corps.

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