Yesterday, in the lead-up to Presidents Day, two professors of political science unveiled the latest incarnation of the Presidential Greatness Expert Survey, which is a comprehensive effort to rank all of the presidents of the United States.
Conducted online via Qualtrics from November 15 to December 31, 2023, the survey, helmed by Brandon Rottinghaus from the University of Houston and Justin S. Vaughn from Coastal Carolina University, engaged 154 experts, including members of the Presidents & Executive Politics Section of the American Political Science Association and scholars with recent publications in relevant academic outlets. With a response rate of 29.3%, the survey offers insights into how experts assess the performance of U.S. presidents throughout history.
Participants were tasked with rating each president on a scale of 0 to 100, reflecting overall greatness, with 0 representing failure, 50 indicating average performance, and 100 signifying greatness. The organizers then averaged the ratings for each president and ranked them from highest average to lowest. This is the third time the survey has been organized; the last one was in 2018.
Abraham Lincoln once again emerged as the top-ranked president, with an average rating of 95.03, followed closely by Franklin Delano Roosevelt and George Washington. Notable changes include Franklin Delano Roosevelt’s ascent to the second position from last year’s third spot and Dwight Eisenhower’s decline to eighth place. Donald Trump appropriately received the lowest rating, with James Buchanan, Andrew Johnson, Franklin Pierce, William Henry Harrison, and Warren Harding ranked just above him in the bottom tier of presidents.
Joe Biden, the country’s current president, was included in the survey and was ranked fourteenth overall by the scholars who participated.
“Proponents of the Biden presidency have strong arguments in their arsenal, but his high placement within the top 15 suggests a powerful anti-Trump factor at work,” said Rottinghaus and Vaughn in a guest essay for the Los Angeles Times. “So far, Biden’s record does not include the military victories or institutional expansion that have typically driven higher rankings, and a family scandal such as the one involving his son Hunter normally diminishes a president’s ranking.
“Biden’s most important achievements may be that he rescued the presidency from Trump, resumed a more traditional style of presidential leadership and is gearing up to keep the office out of his predecessor’s hands this fall.”
There were more changes in the middle than in the top or bottom tiers.
“What is most noteworthy about the remaining presidents concerns who has risen and fallen over time,” said Rottinghaus and Vaughn in a statement.
“Since our initial survey, several presidents have had significant changes in their rankings. Barack Obama has risen 9 places (from #16 to #7), as has Ulysses S. Grant (from #26 to #17), while Andrew Jackson has fallen 12 places (from #9 to #21) and Calvin Coolidge has dropped 7 spots (from #27 to #34).”
Their full press release and rankings can be found below:
Presidential greatness white paperMy commentary and rankings
I like the scholars’ current top four choices, and I also agree that Buchanan and Trump should rank at the bottom. As for the middle, I’d order the presidents a bit differently than the scholars did collectively.
Ranking all of the presidents is not a simple exercise. To do it knowledgeably, you’ve simply got to know your American history. But even if you do know your history, there’s still a lot of considerations to weigh. Luckily, I had an expert I could easily turn to for help making decisions. After consulting with my father, a retired teacher of Advanced Placement (AP) American history, I came up with the following list. I may revise it in the future, but right now, I’m happy with it.
Here it is, for your enjoyment on this Presidents Day 2024.
The American Presidents ranked, from best to worst
Note that for each President, I’ve provided a short commentary focusing on what they did or didn’t do in office. These commentaries focus on their tenures, rather than what they did before becoming President or after leaving office.
- Abraham Lincoln — Emancipated Black Americans in bondage and saved the Union by defeating the Confederate rebellion with a “Team of Rivals” cabinet that brought together Democrats and Republicans.
- Franklin D. Roosevelt — Rescued the nation from the Great Depression, created Social Security, helped allies fighting fascism, and led America to victory through much of World War II in multiple theaters.
- George Washington — Oversaw the successful development of the first presidential administration in history and set a long-followed two-term precedent while ably managing the new country’s foreign relations.
- Theodore Roosevelt — Protected many majestic and wild places for future generations, negotiated an end to Russo-Japanese war, broke up bad trusts, and significantly improved the safety of food and medicine.
- Lyndon B. Johnson — Strengthened America with Medicare, the Civil Rights Act, Voting Rights Act, and the Great Society, but sadly also deepened America’s destructive entanglement in Vietnam.
- Harry S. Truman — Led the country out of World War II and worked to turn enemies into allies with the Marshall Plan, while also standing up to communism around the world with the Berlin Airlift and defense of Korea.
- Thomas Jefferson — Prohibited the slave trade, fought the Barbary pirates, peacefully acquired the Louisiana Territory and sent Lewis and Clark to explore it, but also implemented the costly Embargo Act.
- John F. Kennedy — Established the Peace Corps and the successful Apollo moon landing program, averted catastrophe by peacefully resolving the Cuban Missile Crisis, signed the first nuclear weapons treaty.
- Dwight D. Eisenhower — Negotiated an armistice in Korea that remains in effect today, enforced court orders to integrate schools, developed the Interstate Highway system, but covertly orchestrated several coups abroad.
- Joe Biden — Oversaw America’s recovery from COVID-19, worked with Congress to invest trillions of dollars into critical infrastructure, climate action, and healthcare; diversified the federal judiciary.
- Barack Obama — Got America back on its feet after the Great Recession had knocked the country down, signed the landmark Patient Protection Act, negotiated New START treaty, Paris climate accords, and JCPOA with Iran.
- William Howard Taft — Secured passage of a constitutional amendment to ensure the future of the federal income tax, settled disputes with France and the U.K. through arbitration, continued Roosevelt’s antitrust campaign.
- Woodrow Wilson — Signed Federal Trade Commission and Clayton Antitrust Act; reluctantly led America into World War I on the side of the victorious Allies, but failed to persuade Congress to join League of Nations.
- Bill Clinton — Advanced peace in Northern Ireland and the Middle East, signed Brady Bill, and expanded EITC, but unwisely triangulated on many issues, including trade, crime, LGBTQ+ rights, and financial deregulation.
- John Adams — Known for being the first to peacefully transfer power after losing the presidency, he signed the Alien and Sedition Acts, fought an undeclared war with France, and worked to build a strong U.S. Navy.
- Jimmy Carter — Championed conservation and solar energy, advanced peace through the Camp David Accords, and returned the Panama Canal, but struggled to confront “stagflation” and end the Iran hostage crisis.
- James Madison — Took the United States into an unnecessary war with the United Kingdom (the War of 1812) but did preside over a very effective postwar period of legislating in cooperation with the 14th Congress.
- James Monroe — Perhaps best known for the Monroe Doctrine, he acquired Florida, pursued the demilitarization of the U.S.-Canadian border, negotiated the Russo-American treaty of 1924, and dealt with a panic.
- Ulysses S. Grant — He effectively defended the civil rights of freed Black Americans during Reconstruction, signing a bill creating the Justice Department and fighting the Ku Klux Klan, but struggled with corruption.
- Grover Cleveland — The only American so far to serve non-consecutive terms as President, he fostered Navy modernization while butting heads with Congress and failing to protect workers during a time of labor strife.
- William McKinley — A proponent of the gold standard and a business sympathizer, he took America into a short war with Spain and promoted tariffs to protect domestic manufacturing prior to his assassination.
- James K. Polk — Known for doing what he said he’d do, he took the country in and out of war with Mexico, created the Department of the Interior, and negotiated a settlement over Oregon country with the U.K.
- Chester A. Arthur — Signed the Chinese Exclusion Act after vetoing its initial incarnation, but also championed civil service reform through the Pendleton Civil Service Reform Act of 1883 and the rebirth of the Navy.
- Benjamin Harrison — Presided over the admission of six western states, including Washington, signed the Sherman Antitrust Act, and implemented the McKinley Tariff, but struggled to empower Black Americans.
- John Quincy Adams — Elected by the U.S. House after the Electoral College deadlocked, he couldn’t get much done during his single term, but he supported women’s and indigenous rights and opposed slavery.
- Gerald R. Ford — Unwisely pardoned Richard Nixon and ineffectively tried to combat rising inflation with gimmicks instead of good policies, but he did support the Equal Rights Amendment and advance arms control dialogue.
- George H.W. Bush — Provided steady leadership when the Berlin Wall fell and signed the Americans With Disabilities Act, but also invaded Panama, intervened in the Gulf War, and struggled to address a recession.
- James A. Garfield — Purged corruption in the Post Office and proposed major civil service reforms that Congress adopted in 1883 but failed to address rising economic inequality and inequity before his assassination.
- Rutherford B. Hayes — Ended Reconstruction as a condition of a deal that made him President and deployed the U.S Army to break a railroad strike while also harming tribal nations with forced assimilation policies.
- Andrew Jackson — Unjustly displaced thousands of Native Americans from their ancestral homes and triggered a panic by killing the Bank of the United States while facilitating the enfranchisement of “the common man.”
- Martin Van Buren — Struggled to address the Panic of 1837 that was caused by his predecessor’s policies and continued oppressing Native Americans through conflicts like the Second Seminole War.
- Zachary Taylor — Died in office having failed to complete a single term or achieve any major progress for the country, though he did secure ratification of the Clayton-Bulwer Treaty with the United Kingdom.
- John Tyler — Though he alienated his party and became politically homeless after taking over from William Henry Harrison, he worked to stop oceanic African slave trafficking under the Webster-Ashburton Treaty.
- Ronald Reagan — Responsible for Iran-contra scandal, implemented harmful economic deregulation, ineffectively responded to AIDS epidemic, but did eventually find an arms control partner in Mikhail Gorbachev.
- William Henry Harrison — He hardly did anything because he was only President for a few weeks, so some scholars might argue he shouldn’t be ranked at all, but including him for completeness makes sense.
- Calvin Coolidge — Supported women’s suffrage and racial equality, but his harmful “laissez-faire” economic policies set the stage for one of the worst economic calamites in modern times: the Great Depression.
- Herbert Hoover — Coolidge’s successor, deservedly known for an ineffective, uncaring response to the Depression, including the refusal to provide early cash redemption of veterans’ service bonus certificates.
- Andrew Johnson — Lincoln’s successor botched Reconstruction and ended up feuding with his own party in Congress, becoming the first president to find himself impeached by the House of Representatives.
- Millard Fillmore — Supported the disastrous Compromise of 1850, including the Fugitive Slave Act, and emphasized anti-immigration and anti-Catholic policies after taking over from Zachary Taylor.
- Warren G. Harding — Made bad personnel decisions that resulted in corruption and scandals like Teapot Dome, refused to join the League of Nations, and implemented an ineffective disarmament agreement.
- Richard Nixon — Several very progressive policy achievements for a Republican president, but he perpetrated atrocities abroad with Kissinger in Southeast Asia and damaged the presidency with scandals like Watergate.
- George W. Bush — Ignored intelligence suggesting al Qaeda would strike the U.S., launched unwinnable wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, cut taxes for the wealthy, and did not effectively respond when the Great Recession hit.
- Franklin Pierce — Opposed the abolitionist movement, nixed the Missouri Compromise through the Kansas-Nebraska Act, enforced the immoral Fugitive Slave Act, and lost so much support that he wasn’t renominated.
- James Buchanan — Backed the Supreme Court’s horrific Dred Scott decision as well as Southern scheming to admit Kansas into the Union as a slave state and failed to confront the Confederate insurrection.
- Donald Trump — Failed to effectively respond to the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, ran a horrifically corrupt regime that flouted ethics laws and violated political norms, and irresponsibly cut taxes for the wealthy.
The scholars were just a little too charitable to Richard Nixon and way too charitable to George W. Bush, and I don’t think either Harrison deserves to be ranked below Harding, Fillmore, Hoover, Coolidge, or Nixon. But for the most part, their rankings are quite defensible. These sorts of evaluations are inherently opinionated, but this survey provides an opportunity for building consensus.
America has had a lot of what I consider to be mediocre presidents, which in my estimation outnumber both the really good and really bad ones.
Our current president, Joe Biden, gets a lot of negative and unflattering media coverage, and faces an opposition (especially a Republican Party no longer committed to republicanism) that is less loyal to democracy than any other in modern American history, but he has nevertheless achieved a lot. His presidency is still ongoing, so a proper appraisal of his legacy is not yet possible.
If Biden can prevent Trump’s return and continue strengthening the country despite all that he faces, future historians may rank him as one of the greatest presidents, alongside Lincoln, FDR, Washington, and Teddy Roosevelt.
I simply don’t understand what has happened to the modern Repulican Party and is loyalty/fealty to an absolute nut case. I’ve always considered myself a Dole Republican/Paneta Democrat, and am a big believer in accountability. It’s as if Putin has the entire Republican Party compromised. Now I do not have starry ‑yed view of American Exceptionalism and we’ve had enormous issues with compromising in the past, but what a complete clown show we are currently experiencing.
The only excuse I can honestly come up with given the sad number of Republican quislings is the enormous influence of the Internet and its over-sized impact on at least 1⁄3 rd of the Country. The incredible ignorance of current American political thought coupled with several international conflicts will eventually lead to WW III with America on the sidelines thinking the ocean barriers will save us.
More than anytime since WW II, we need extraordinary leadership to see us through a time period that makes the Cuban Missile Crisis a Sunday Picnic. With what Biden’s accomplished so far, I’d feel a whole lot better if he pulled a General Washington and stepped down.the ultimate sacrifice. He will be 82 performing a job that is tough for any man in his fifties.
Though based on Biden’s performance, he would still get my vote. Trump will never earn my vote based on his four years of one disaster after another. The only other president I can compare trump to is Andrew Jackson, a rabid racist who left the country an economic basket case after eight years.
Is there some way of reverse-engineering the results of the survey to determine the breakdown of respondents by party affiliation? I haven’t found this information anywhere, even on the survey, itself. It would be good to know it wasn’t 150 Democrats, 2 Republicans, and 1 independent.
I am interested in the question(s) they answered. I want to understand that this was an unbiased survey so I can share it iwth others and can represent it as unbiased. Was there a body of questions a wide range of questions or just one score?
Was able to find this when the article debuted.
Hope it helps those who are asking.
55–57% were identified as Democrat Voters.
21–25% were identified republican
11–17% identified as independent
And 3% were non disclosure