Neofascist Donald Trump is beloved by the Republican base in Washington State, but former congressman and gubernatorial hopeful Dave Reichert has yet to establish a similar strong bond with many of the ultra MAGA faithful, a survey conducted last week for the Northwest Progressive Institute indicates.
Asked whether they viewed Reichert favorably or unfavorably, a plurality of 43% in our poll of Republican presidential primary voters said they were not sure.
A total of 39% had a favorable view of Reichert (23% very favorable, 16% somewhat favorable), while 18% had an unfavorable view.
Despite not having the baggage that Trump has, Reichert was viewed unfavorably by slightly more respondents than Trump — we found that 84% of respondents have a favorable view of Trump and 16% have an unfavorable view.
This data is a mixed bag for Reichert. He certainly isn’t disliked by his party’s base, but they don’t have the same affinity for him that they do for Trump.
At least not yet, anyway.
But Reichert can take comfort in this: Our horserace polling has found Republican voters in Washington ready to rally around him in a simulated head to head matchup with Democratic Attorney General Bob Ferguson. If he gets on the general election ballot, Republican voters will mark the oval for him.
And Reichert is on track to get there: he and Ferguson are way, way ahead of their rivals Semi Bird and Mark Mullet, who our last poll of general election voters found were both in the single digits. That survey, which fielded a couple weeks before last week’s presidential primary poll, looked at Reichert’s favorability too. 26% of respondents had a favorable view of Reichert, while 32% had an unfavorable view. 19% were not sure, and 24% had not heard of Reichert.
Those last two categories coincidentally add up to 43% — the exact same percentage in our poll of Washington State Republican presidential primary voters who said they were not sure about Reichert.
Longtime political insiders know Reichert well. For many years, he was the elected Sheriff of King County — a position that is now appointed by the King County Executive — and then he became the United States Representative for the 8th Congressional District. He won seven consecutive elections for that seat (2004, 2006, 2008, 2010, 2012, 2014, and 2016). But he hasn’t appeared on a Washington State ballot since Trump faced Hillary Clinton, or been very visible prior to deciding to run for governor. That has reduced his name ID somewhat.
Here is the exact question we asked and the answers we received:
QUESTION: What is your opinion of Dave Reichert?
ANSWERS:
- Not sure: 43%
- Very favorable: 23%
- Somewhat favorable: 16%
- Somewhat unfavorable: 8%
- Very unfavorable: 10%
We provided no background or biographical information about Reichert prior to asking this question. We like to let our respondents bring their own knowledge and opinions to our surveys as much as possible — that’s how good public opinion research conducted according to the scientific method is done.
Our survey of 522 likely 2024 Washington State Republican primary voters was in the field from Tuesday, February 20th through Friday, February 23rd, 2024.
The poll was conducted for NPI by Civiqs, among selected members of the firm’s research panel. All sampled individuals were emailed by Civiqs and responded using a personalized link to the survey at civiqs.com. The survey has a margin of error of ± 5.5% at the 95% confidence level, accounting for the design effect.
Likely Republican primary voters are respondents who answered “Yes, in the Republican primary” to question 1 of the survey, which asked if they were planning to vote in the Washington presidential primary in March. Respondents must have also self-identified as a Republican or Independent in a previous Civiqs survey. Only Republican and Independent voters in Washington were sampled.
The filing period for offices subject to election in 2024 will take place in May. The August Top Two election will conclude on Tuesday, August 6th and the November general election will conclude on Tuesday, November 5th.