Gubernatorial candidate Dave Reichert
Gubernatorial candidate Dave Reichert (Campaign photo)

Neo­fas­cist Don­ald Trump is beloved by the Repub­li­can base in Wash­ing­ton State, but for­mer con­gress­man and guber­na­to­r­i­al hope­ful Dave Reichert has yet to estab­lish a sim­i­lar strong bond with many of the ultra MAGA faith­ful, a sur­vey con­duct­ed last week for the North­west Pro­gres­sive Insti­tute indicates.

Asked whether they viewed Reichert favor­ably or unfa­vor­ably, a plu­ral­i­ty of 43% in our poll of Repub­li­can pres­i­den­tial pri­ma­ry vot­ers said they were not sure.

A total of 39% had a favor­able view of Reichert (23% very favor­able, 16% some­what favor­able), while 18% had an unfa­vor­able view.

Despite not hav­ing the bag­gage that Trump has, Reichert was viewed unfa­vor­ably by slight­ly more respon­dents than Trump — we found that 84% of respon­dents have a favor­able view of Trump and 16% have an unfa­vor­able view.

This data is a mixed bag for Reichert. He cer­tain­ly isn’t dis­liked by his par­ty’s base, but they don’t have the same affin­i­ty for him that they do for Trump.

At least not yet, anyway.

But Reichert can take com­fort in this: Our horser­ace polling has found Repub­li­can vot­ers in Wash­ing­ton ready to ral­ly around him in a sim­u­lat­ed head to head matchup with Demo­c­ra­t­ic Attor­ney Gen­er­al Bob Fer­gu­son. If he gets on the gen­er­al elec­tion bal­lot, Repub­li­can vot­ers will mark the oval for him.

And Reichert is on track to get there: he and Fer­gu­son are way, way ahead of their rivals Semi Bird and Mark Mul­let, who our last poll of gen­er­al elec­tion vot­ers found were both in the sin­gle dig­its. That sur­vey, which field­ed a cou­ple weeks before last week’s pres­i­den­tial pri­ma­ry poll, looked at Reichert’s favor­a­bil­i­ty too. 26% of respon­dents had a favor­able view of Reichert, while 32% had an unfa­vor­able view. 19% were not sure, and 24% had not heard of Reichert.

Those last two cat­e­gories coin­ci­den­tal­ly add up to 43% — the exact same per­cent­age in our poll of Wash­ing­ton State Repub­li­can pres­i­den­tial pri­ma­ry vot­ers who said they were not sure about Reichert.

Long­time polit­i­cal insid­ers know Reichert well. For many years, he was the elect­ed Sher­iff of King Coun­ty — a posi­tion that is now appoint­ed by the King Coun­ty Exec­u­tive — and then he became the Unit­ed States Rep­re­sen­ta­tive for the 8th Con­gres­sion­al Dis­trict. He won sev­en con­sec­u­tive elec­tions for that seat (2004, 2006, 2008, 2010, 2012, 2014, and 2016). But he has­n’t appeared on a Wash­ing­ton State bal­lot since Trump faced Hillary Clin­ton, or been very vis­i­ble pri­or to decid­ing to run for gov­er­nor. That has reduced his name ID somewhat.

Here is the exact ques­tion we asked and the answers we received:

QUESTION: What is your opin­ion of Dave Reichert?


  • Not sure: 43%
  • Very favor­able: 23%
  • Some­what favor­able: 16%
  • Some­what unfa­vor­able: 8%
  • Very unfa­vor­able: 10%

We pro­vid­ed no back­ground or bio­graph­i­cal infor­ma­tion about Reichert pri­or to ask­ing this ques­tion. We like to let our respon­dents bring their own knowl­edge and opin­ions to our sur­veys as much as pos­si­ble — that’s how good pub­lic opin­ion research con­duct­ed accord­ing to the sci­en­tif­ic method is done.

Our sur­vey of 522 like­ly 2024 Wash­ing­ton State Repub­li­can pri­ma­ry vot­ers was in the field from Tues­day, Feb­ru­ary 20th through Fri­day, Feb­ru­ary 23rd, 2024.

The poll was con­duct­ed for NPI by Civiqs, among select­ed mem­bers of the firm’s research pan­el. All sam­pled indi­vid­u­als were emailed by Civiqs and respond­ed using a per­son­al­ized link to the sur­vey at The sur­vey has a mar­gin of error of ± 5.5% at the 95% con­fi­dence lev­el, account­ing for the design effect.

Like­ly Repub­li­can pri­ma­ry vot­ers are respon­dents who answered “Yes, in the Repub­li­can pri­ma­ry” to ques­tion 1 of the sur­vey, which asked if they were plan­ning to vote in the Wash­ing­ton pres­i­den­tial pri­ma­ry in March. Respon­dents must have also self-iden­ti­fied as a Repub­li­can or Inde­pen­dent in a pre­vi­ous Civiqs sur­vey. Only Repub­li­can and Inde­pen­dent vot­ers in Wash­ing­ton were sampled.

The fil­ing peri­od for offices sub­ject to elec­tion in 2024 will take place in May. The August Top Two elec­tion will con­clude on Tues­day, August 6th and the Novem­ber gen­er­al elec­tion will con­clude on Tues­day, Novem­ber 5th.

About the author

Andrew Villeneuve is the founder and executive director of the Northwest Progressive Institute, as well as the founder of NPI's sibling, the Northwest Progressive Foundation. He has worked to advance progressive causes for over two decades as a strategist, speaker, author, and organizer. Andrew is also a cybersecurity expert, a veteran facilitator, a delegate to the Washington State Democratic Central Committee, and a member of the Climate Reality Leadership Corps.

Adjacent posts