NPI's Cascadia Advocate

Offering commentary and analysis from Washington, Oregon, and Idaho, The Cascadia Advocate is the Northwest Progressive Institute's uplifting perspective on world, national, and local politics.

Thursday, August 3rd, 2023

The Thursday, August 3rd ballot counts have dropped! Here’s who’s rising and who’s fading

Today, the pop­u­lous coun­ties in Wash­ing­ton that have Top Two elec­tions this year pub­lished the results of their third con­sec­u­tive dai­ly bal­lot tab­u­la­tion, bring­ing statewide vot­er turnout up to 27.94% and giv­ing us a bet­ter sense of what the elec­toral land­scape will look like when the returns are cer­ti­fied on August 15th.

Here’s a run­down of who is ris­ing and fad­ing based on the lat­est results!

Seattle City Council

  • Ris­ing: Maren Cos­ta. Fad­ing: Rob Saka. Cos­ta had 29.05% of the vote on Elec­tion Night. She’s since improved to 32.95%, which is near­ly a four point increase. Her clos­est rival, Rob Saka, has slipped to 24.2%.
  • Ris­ing: Tam­my Morales. Fad­ing: Tanya Woo. Morales had less than a major­i­ty of the vote on Elec­tion Night. Now she’s at 52.08% and has put some dis­tance in between her can­di­da­cy and that of chal­lenger Tanya Woo.
  • Ris­ing: Alex Hud­son. Fad­ing: Joy Hollingsworth. Hud­son has pulled to with­in a few hun­dred votes of rival Joy Hollingsworth. She has 36.47%; Hollingsworth still leads with 37.11%.
  • Ris­ing: Chris­Tiana Obey­Sum­n­er. Fad­ing: Nilu Jenks. The con­test for sec­ond place increas­ing­ly looks like it’s going to go to Chris­Tiana Obey­Sum­n­er. Nilu Jenks was­n’t behind by much on Elec­tion Night, but she has slipped as count­ing has gone on, with Obey­Sum­n­er increas­ing their lead. On Elec­tion Night, Obey­Sum­n­er stood at 21.38%. Now, they have 24.09% of the vote. Jenks has slipped from 19.04% to 18.87%.
  • Ris­ing: Andrew Lewis. Coun­cilmem­ber Lewis, who rep­re­sents down­town, did­n’t quite have 41% of the vote on Elec­tion Night. Now he’s up to an even 43%. His reelec­tion prospects are brightening.


  • Ris­ing: Lisa Brown. Fad­ing: Nadine Wood­ward. Demo­c­ra­t­ic may­oral hope­ful Lisa Brown had a tri­umphant Elec­tion Night on Tues­day and her posi­tion has only improved since then. She went from 46.8% to 47.52% today, while incum­bent Nadine Wood­ward has lost ground. Wood­ward, a Repub­li­can, had 38.66% on Tues­day and has now slid to 36.61%.
  • Ris­ing: Bet­sy Wilk­er­son. Fad­ing: Kim Plese. Wilk­er­son, the top vote get­ter for City Coun­cil Pres­i­dent, has also seen a bounce since Elec­tion Night. On Tues­day, her per­cent­age was 48.07%. Now, she’s reached 49.04% of the vote. Her clos­est rival, Kim Plese, has slid from 36.33% to 35.84%.
  • Ris­ing: Paul Dil­lon. Fad­ing: Katey Ran­dall Tre­loar. Pro­gres­sive Paul Dil­lon emerged with a plu­ral­i­ty lead for Spokane City Coun­cil Dis­trict #2, Posi­tion #1 on Elec­tion Night. He’s grown his sup­port since then, going from 41.01% to 42.08%. His near­est rival, Katey Ran­dall Tre­loar, has dipped a lit­tle. She had 33.31%; now she has 32.68%.

Redmond City Council: Positions #7 and #1

  • Ris­ing: Ang­ie Nue­va­cam­i­na. Fad­ing: David Car­son. On Elec­tion Night, incum­bent David Car­son, who leans to the right, was win­ning. But today, there was a lead change. Chal­lenger Nue­va­cam­i­na now has a slight edge over Car­son, with 39.96% of the vote to Car­son­’s 39.28%.
  • Ris­ing: Osman Salahud­din. Osman­’s dom­i­nant per­for­mance con­tin­ues. On Elec­tion Night, he had two-thirds of the vote. Now he’s up to 68.35%!

King County Council: Districts #4 and #8

  • Ris­ing: Jorge L Barón. Fad­ing: Sarah Reyn­eveld. Fron­trun­ner Jorge Barón had a sig­nif­i­cant lead on Elec­tion Night, but he has since widened it, going from a plu­ral­i­ty of 47.81% on Tues­day to a major­i­ty of 50.28% today. He’s the clear favorite in Novem­ber. His fel­low Demo­c­ra­t­ic con­tender Sarah Reyn­eveld, mean­while, has dipped from 30.83% to 28.94%.
  • Ris­ing: Tere­sa Mosque­da. Fad­ing: Sofia Aragon. Tere­sa Mosque­da, a cur­rent Seat­tle City Coun­cilmem­ber, seems head­ed for the coun­ty lev­el. She is earn­ing the sup­port of 57.39% of vot­ers, up from 54.75% on Tues­day. Sofia Aragon, the oth­er top two fin­ish­er, has slipped from 39.77% to 37.72%.

It’s mostly quiet in Whatcom and Snohomish Counties

Sno­homish and What­com are the only oth­er coun­ties besides King and What­com with coun­ty lev­el offices on the bal­lot this year, includ­ing for Executive.

There has­n’t been much of a change in the per­cent­ages that can­di­dates have up in Sno­homish Coun­ty. 96,837 bal­lots had been count­ed as of Elec­tion Night; that fig­ure only rose to 134,988 today. There are just 800 bal­lots left to count in Sno­homish, accord­ing to Audi­tor Garth Fel­l’s office.

It’s a sim­i­lar sto­ry in What­com Coun­ty. 40,564 bal­lots had been count­ed as of Elec­tion Night; that fig­ure rose to 56,451 today. There was min­i­mal move­ment in key races on Wednes­day and Thurs­day, with some minor changes in per­cent­ages, but not to the extent seen in places like Seat­tle or Spokane.

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