Today was the second day of tabulation in the November 2019 general election in Washington State, which remains an election in progress, as I stated last night.
While our analysis suggests that Tim Eyman’s incredibly destructive I-976 will still be ahead when all the ballots are counted (which is a shame), the updated returns that were released today show us moving in a positive direction.
Tim Eyman will not finish this election with the “phenomenal” numbers that had him in such a state of euphoria at the Bellevue Hyatt last night.
Keep Washington Rolling, the coalition that opposed I-976, worked hard and cooperatively to wage a vigorous, full-throated campaign against this destructive measure, and today’s results demonstrate that that work had an impact.
Last night, there were just four counties opposing I-976: King, Jefferson, San Juan, and Whatcom. But as of today, there are six! Reinforcements have arrived. Thurston County and Island County have joined the NO on I-976 column, probably for good, thanks to newly tabulated ballots favoring the NO side.
Eyman’s share of the vote statewide has begun declining as well.
As of Election Night, Eyman had 55.76% of the statewide vote. As of today, I-976 had slipped to 55.07%. The initiative will slide under 54% tomorrow, and maybe even under 53%. By Friday, Eyman will have lost even more ground.
Every day that we can reduce the share of the yes vote and increase the no vote is a good day. If we can’t defeat I-976 at the ballot, we at least want to even the score to the greatest extent that we can. And it looks like we’re on our way to accomplishing just that. Meanwhile, planning is underway for a legal challenge to continue the battle against Initiative 976 in the courts.
Thurston and Island counties were only narrowly voting for I-976 as of last night, which is why we were able to flip them in the span of a single day.
There are two other small counties that are potentially flippable: Clallam and Whitman. In Clallam, the no vote is 48,78%. In Whitman, the no vote is 48.14%. Whitman has 2,500 ballots on hand awaiting processing and Clallam has 4,250. If there are enough NO votes in the yet-to-be-tabulated ballots, then the NO on I-976 column might get even bigger by next week.
None of the big swing counties are close enough to be flipped (that’d be Snohomish, Pierce, Spokane, and Clark). There might be a chance of flipping Kitsap, though. The NO vote there is currently 47.36% and climbing, and there are a substantial number of ballots left to count… 25,000.
If enough of those 25,000 ballots favor Keep Washington Rolling’s position, Kitsap might swing away from Eyman. Fingers crossed…