Offering frequent news and analysis from the majestic Evergreen State and beyond, The Cascadia Advocate is the Northwest Progressive Institute's unconventional perspective on world, national, and local politics.

Tuesday, March 4, 2008

Obama projected to win Vermont

With about 7% of precincts reporting, Barack Obama has been projected to win Vermont by CNN and the other major networks. Obama has about 59% of the vote in the Green Mountain State, compared to Clinton's 39%. The polls haven't closed in any of the other states voting today yet (Ohio, Texas, Rhode Island) but the networks are already projecting that John McCain will win Ohio in addition to Vermont for the Republicans.

Voting has been extended in Ohio's Sandusky County due to bad weather. That means polls will stay open in some places until 9 PM Eastern Time.

Jonathan Singer has an overview of exit polling over at MyDD if you're curious. We don't care much for polling, so we won't list the numbers here. However, our gut predictions guru Jonathan thinks that Obama will win Texas narrowly, lose Rhode Island to Hillary Clinton, and be in a statistical dead heat in Ohio.

On MSNBC, they're breaking down the exit polling, which really hasn't yielded any surprises. Briefly, respondents thought Clinton has been much more unfair to Obama than he has been to her on the campaign trail, but by about ten percent credited her with having a better plan.

A supermajority said the recent debates in Ohio and Texas factored into their decision. (Only voters in those states were surveyed for the exit poll).

Finally, Marc Ambinder reminds us that Ohio's urban areas are critically important:
NBC News Political Director Chuck Todd on MSNBC points out that Hillary Clinton's delegate spread in Ohio, assuming she wins the popular vote narrowly, could be as large as +5 or as narrow as.. -1..if Obama runs up the margins in the Cleveland-area districts held by Rep. Dennis Kucinich and Rep. Stephanie Tubbs-Jones.
We'll see what happens later tonight.

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