Elizabeth Warren speaks to supporters in Las Vegas in February
Elizabeth Warren speaks to supporters in Las Vegas in February (Photo: Gage Skidmore, reproduced under Creative Commons license)

Eliz­a­beth War­ren, the senior Unit­ed States Sen­a­tor from Mass­a­chu­setts, has end­ed her pres­i­den­tial cam­paign after the results of Super Tues­day made it all too appar­ent that she has no chance of win­ning the 2020 Demo­c­ra­t­ic nomination.

Elizabeth Warren waves
Eliz­a­beth War­ren waves to ral­ly­go­ers as she con­cludes the speak­ing pro­gram at her sec­ond major Seat­tle appear­ance (Pho­to: Andrew Villeneuve/NPI)

The for­mer Har­vard law pro­fes­sor and con­sumer rights cam­paign­er is a liv­ing leg­end in pro­gres­sive pol­i­tics and a reg­u­lar speak­er at Net­roots Nation.

She first entered the nation­al spot­light in the 1990s as an expert on bank­rupt­cy law, and then rock­et­ed to celebri­ty dur­ing the 2008 finan­cial crash, dur­ing which she fero­cious­ly inter­ro­gat­ed the inept archi­tects of the dis­as­ter. She fought a long and at times vicious bat­tle with­in the Oba­ma admin­is­tra­tion to estab­lish the Con­sumer Finan­cial Pro­tec­tion Bureau, which was even­tu­al­ly formed in 2010.

War­ren entered the U.S. Sen­ate in 2012 and was such an effec­tive pro­gres­sive leader that by 2015 a move­ment had formed to encour­age her to run as a pro­gres­sive chal­lenger to Hillary Clin­ton in the fol­low­ing year’s Demo­c­ra­t­ic pres­i­den­tial pri­ma­ry. War­ren declined, which ulti­mate­ly allowed Bernie Sanders to step into the pro­gres­sive lane and ascend to nation­al fame.

Many progressives wanted Warren to run for president in 2016
Many pro­gres­sives want­ed War­ren to run for pres­i­dent in 2016 (Pho­to: MoveOn, repro­duced under Cre­ative Com­mons license)

War­ren was the first major 2020 Demo­c­ra­t­ic can­di­date to declare her run (which she did on the last day of 2018). She imme­di­ate­ly encoun­tered furi­ous crit­i­cism from Don­ald Trump, who derid­ed her as “Poc­a­hon­tas”.

War­ren man­aged to weath­er the storm of racist and sex­ist hatred being spewed by the Repub­li­cans, and by the autumn she had arguably become the Demo­c­ra­t­ic frontrun­ner, as both the Biden and Sanders strug­gled to find their footing.

Warren’s suc­cess came from a slow-and-steady approach to cam­paign­ing that built up a sol­id ground game in cru­cial ear­ly states, and her abil­i­ty to remain unruf­fled by the ups and downs of the pri­ma­ry process.

Pro­gres­sives cheered her on in the tele­vised debates, where she demol­ished neolib­er­al can­di­dates who belit­tled pro­gres­sive ideals, while skill­ful­ly avoid­ing the ire of the party’s pow­er­ful estab­lish­ment. She also impressed many col­lege edu­cat­ed vot­ers by pump­ing out com­pre­hen­sive pol­i­cy pack­ages, to the extent that her cam­paign slo­gan became “I have a plan for that!”

How­ev­er, in the months run­ning up to the start of vot­ing, Warren’s key areas of sup­port were grad­u­al­ly pulled from under her in mul­ti­ple directions.

Bernie Sanders’ cam­paign picked up enor­mous steam in the ear­ly days of this year (bizarrely, Sanders’ surge came in the wake of a heart attack, the kind of event that usu­al­ly ends a pres­i­den­tial run), sap­ping away Warren’s most pro­gres­sive sup­port­ers. Mean­while, for­mer May­or Pete Buttigieg played on his youth and intel­lec­tu­al chops to chip away at her base of edu­cat­ed white sub­ur­ban voters.

Warren’s response was to piv­ot away from her staunch defense of pro­gres­sive poli­cies and try to play the role of a uni­fi­er. Unfor­tu­nate­ly, this tack did not work, and she con­tin­ued to slide in pub­lic opin­ion research surveys.

Despite her campaign’s strong pres­ence in ear­­ly-vot­ing states, War­ren did not secure the fin­ish she had worked so hard for. A par­tic­u­lar­ly galling result came in New Hamp­shire, where War­ren came a dis­tant fourth despite her advan­tage of being from a neigh­bor­ing state. Super Tues­day sealed her fate; vot­ers gave her less than thir­ty of the more than 1,300 del­e­gates up for grabs.

Warren’s exit from the race comes dur­ing a mas­sive nar­row­ing of the Demo­c­ra­t­ic field. In the past few days May­or Pete Buttigieg, Sen­a­tor Amy Klobuchar and May­or Michael Bloomberg all dropped out of the race to endorse for­mer Vice Pres­i­dent Joe Biden in what has been wide­ly seen as a par­ty estab­lish­ment effort to deny the nom­i­na­tion to Bernie Sanders – a self-declared demo­c­ra­t­ic social­ist who says a polit­i­cal rev­o­lu­tion is need­ed to restore the Unit­ed States of America.

Both Sen­a­tors War­ren and Sanders have been encour­aged by pro­gres­sive groups for months to unite as one tick­et to uni­fy the the par­ty’s pro­gres­sive wing, but this pres­sure ramped up to extreme lev­els in recent months as it became increas­ing­ly clear that Sanders’ cam­paign had the best chance of winning.

After neolib­er­als unit­ed behind Biden in the days imme­di­ate­ly pre­ced­ing and suc­ceed­ing Super Tues­day, the pres­sure on Warren’s cam­paign increased.

War­ren has now pulled the plug after con­clud­ing there was no path to the nom­i­na­tion. What comes next for War­ren is unclear, but she still wields great influ­ence in the Demo­c­ra­t­ic Par­ty. Her endorse­ment, whether it goes to Biden or Sanders, will be a key moment in the race, if and when she choos­es to give it.

Beyond endors­ing one of the remain­ing can­di­dates, War­ren has a promis­ing future to look for­ward to, even if she won’t become the par­ty’s nominee.

Both the fron­trun­ners are painful­ly aware that as elder­ly white men, they are not very rep­re­sen­ta­tive of the coun­try, or the Demo­c­ra­t­ic base.

Both cam­paigns have con­tem­plat­ed bal­anc­ing the tick­et with a female vice pres­i­den­tial nom­i­nee. The Biden cam­paign has already clum­si­ly approached sev­er­al suc­cess­ful female lead­ers with tri­al bal­loons, while the Sanders cam­paign was report­ed­ly research­ing whether War­ren could serve as Vice Pres­i­dent and Trea­sury Sec­re­tary simul­ta­ne­ous­ly as far back as mid-January.

Whichev­er can­di­date War­ren sup­ports, she will no doubt be an invalu­able asset to them – both in the pri­ma­ry and (more impor­tant­ly) as a fear­less pro­gres­sive war­rior in the bat­tle to throw Don­ald Trump out of the White House.

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