NPI's Cascadia Advocate

Offering commentary and analysis from Washington, Oregon, and Idaho, The Cascadia Advocate is the Northwest Progressive Institute's unconventional perspective on world, national, and local politics.

Tuesday, February 9th, 2016

Bernie Sanders, Donald Trump projected to win in New Hampshire after polls close

Now that most of the state’s polls have closed, Amer­i­ca’s cable and broad­cast net­works are pro­ject­ing that Bernie Sanders and Don­ald Trump — who each fin­ished sec­ond place in the Iowa cau­cus­es last week — have won the Demo­c­ra­t­ic and Repub­li­can 2016 pres­i­den­tial pri­maries in New Hampshire.

Ear­ly unof­fi­cial results show both Sanders and Trump ahead.

On the Demo­c­ra­t­ic side, this is where things stand as of 5:10 PM:

Bernie Sanders55.9%13
Hillary Clinton42.1% 13

It looks like Bernie Sanders is going to have a great night. He’s com­fort­ably ahead of Clin­ton at the moment, and it’s not close. The Clin­tons have his­tor­i­cal­ly done well in New Hamp­shire… Bill Clin­ton placed sec­ond in a com­pet­i­tive, crowd­ed field in 1992, after hav­ing been far behind in Iowa, and Hillary won the 2008 New Hamp­shire pri­ma­ry, pre­vail­ing over Barack Obama.

But this time, New Hamp­shire goes to Sanders. He will be able to claim a major, con­vinc­ing vic­to­ry as the pres­i­den­tial race moves to Neva­da and South Car­oli­na, and his cam­paign should see a fundrais­ing boost as well, ensur­ing that the cam­paign will have the resources to com­pete in the many states that are hold­ing con­tests on Tues­day, March 1st (Super Tues­day) and beyond.

Exit polling indi­cates some 85% of mil­len­ni­al vot­ers vot­ed for Sanders. That is sim­ply remark­able. Sanders also found sup­port from gun own­ers and inde­pen­dents. Sanders is also win­ning among women with all age groups overall.

On the Repub­li­can side, this is where things stand as of 5:10 PM:

Don­ald Trump34.4%
John Kasich16.1%
Jeb Bush11.6%
Ted Cruz11.2%
Mar­co Rubio10.0%
Chris Christie7.9%
Car­ly Fiorina4.5%
Ben Carson2.1%

Mar­co Rubio is clear­ly not hav­ing a good night. His ter­ri­ble debate per­for­mance on Sat­ur­dayy night could well have hurt him. Rubio came in third in Iowa, but in New Hamp­shire, he’s slipped back to fifth place, behind John Kasich and Jeb Bush as well as Trump and Cruz. Chris Christie, Car­ly Fio­r­i­na, and Ben Car­son are all in the sin­gle dig­its, with Car­son polling the low­est of all. Don’t be sur­prised if Christie announces tonight or tomor­row that he is sus­pend­ing his campaign.

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