NPI's Cascadia Advocate

Offering commentary and analysis from Washington, Oregon, and Idaho, The Cascadia Advocate is the Northwest Progressive Institute's uplifting perspective on world, national, and local politics.

Tuesday, November 3rd, 2015

Democrat Carol Gregory trailing Republican Teri Hickel in hotly contested 30th LD race

In the 30th Leg­isla­tive Dis­tric­t’s $2 mil­lion con­test for State House, Demo­c­ra­t­ic incum­bent Car­ol Gre­go­ry is trail­ing first time Repub­li­can can­di­date Teri Hick­el by 1,035 votes, 53.92% to 46.08%. Gre­go­ry was appoint­ed to the seat fol­low­ing the death of State Rep­re­sen­ta­tive Roger Free­man in 2014. Ear­ly results may be mis­lead­ing, as Gre­go­ry faced a sim­i­lar deficit on elec­tion night in 2010, but even­tu­al­ly came with­in 300 votes of Repub­li­can vic­tor Kat­ri­na Asay.

The mood was somber when the first results dropped at Car­ol Gre­go­ry’s cam­paign head­quar­ters in Fed­er­al Way, where local Democ­rats had gathered.

Gre­go­ry gave a brief state­ment, thank­ing the many vol­un­teers who came from all over the state to help the impor­tant cam­paign. “We’re all sur­prised,” she said. “We did every­thing we could besides going neg­a­tive,” not­ing that rejec­tion of attack ads was a pol­i­cy she and her team adopt­ed ear­ly on.

The cam­paign got a late start due to the three spe­cial ses­sions called to resolve the state bud­get deal. Reg­u­la­tions bar sit­ting leg­is­la­tors from cam­paign­ing or rais­ing funds while the leg­is­la­ture is in session.

Still, Gre­go­ry raised $395,053.60 to Hick­el’s $378,272.90.

Out­side spend­ing also played a major role in this race as PDC reports show $471,721.76 in inde­pen­dent expen­di­tures oppos­ing Gre­go­ry, com­pared to less than half that amount oppos­ing Hickel.

The 30th is a per­fect exam­ple of a sub­ur­ban swing dis­trict, but is fac­ing the prospect of an all-Repub­li­can leg­isla­tive del­e­ga­tion for the first time in decades. 2015 being an odd-num­bered year, the Gre­go­ry cam­paign’s pri­ma­ry strat­e­gy was to sim­ply get out the vote, as high vot­er turn-out favors Demo­c­ra­t­ic candidates.

Only about 20% of reg­is­tered vot­ers’ bal­lots had been count­ed as of Novem­ber 3. Watch incom­ing results from both King and Pierce coun­ties close­ly in the com­ing days, as Democ­rats have the poten­tial to pull off a come-from-behind win.

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  1. Woud­n’t Hick­el have to run again in 2016? That could be a chance to take back the seat.

    # by Mike Barer :: November 4th, 2015 at 6:18 AM
  2. Get real, Car­ol went neg­a­tive right after the pri­ma­ry and her han­dlers spent half a mil­lion in neg­a­tive ads. You were beat­en. Badly.

    Edi­tor’s Note: Kevin Carns is the Polit­i­cal Direc­tor at Wash­ing­ton State’s House Repub­li­can Orga­ni­za­tion­al Committee. 

    # by Kevin Carns :: November 4th, 2015 at 9:15 AM
  3. Not as bad­ly as Jane Hague was beat­en, though. What a blowout…

    # by Andrew :: November 4th, 2015 at 11:39 AM
  4. @1 yes, Hick­el must run again next year. Remem­ber that near­ly 60% of the 30th LD vot­ers went for Oba­ma in 2012. Repub­li­cans only hold this dis­trict because of the low turnout that has plagued Democ­rats across Amer­i­ca — a prob­lem Democ­rats here in WA need to urgent­ly solve.

    # by Robert Cruickshank :: November 4th, 2015 at 11:43 AM
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