NPI's Cascadia Advocate

Offering commentary and analysis from Washington, Oregon, and Idaho, The Cascadia Advocate is the Northwest Progressive Institute's uplifting perspective on world, national, and local politics.

Saturday, November 8th, 2014

Class size initiative now has 18,000+ vote lead; Snohomish swings back into yes column

Today was a great day to be a sup­port­er of I‑1351, the ini­tia­tive to low­er class sizes in pri­ma­ry and sec­ondary schools across Wash­ing­ton State.

After hav­ing trailed and alter­nat­ed between lead­ing and trail­ing for the first three days post-Elec­tion Night, the ini­tia­tive appears to have moved away from the pre­cip­i­tous edge, thanks to Wash­ing­ton’s three most pop­u­lous coun­ties, which fin­ished tab­u­lat­ing anoth­er batch of bal­lots dur­ing a spe­cial Sat­ur­day count.

Coun­ties don’t often tab­u­late bal­lots on week­ends, but this year, there was evi­dent­ly such a late influx of bal­lots that offi­cials in King, Sno­homish, and Pierce each brought in work­ers today to keep the bal­lot pro­cess­ing going.

As of this evening, I‑1351’s lead stands at over 18,000 votes, and Yes has 50.49%. It’s still close, but if the trend holds, we project that I‑1351 will pass.

Yes­ter­day, Sno­homish Coun­ty swung back into the Yes col­umn after defect­ing to the No col­umn two days pri­or. Also new to the Yes col­umn is the small coun­ty of Pacif­ic, which includes the cities of Ray­mond, South Bend, Long Beach, and Ilwaco.

Sno­homish and Pacif­ic join King, San Juan, Pierce, Jef­fer­son, Kit­sap, What­com, Spokane, Island, Grays Har­bor, and tiny Asotin as coun­ties sup­port­ing I‑1351.

(Asotin and Island flipped into the Yes camp on the sec­ond day — Wednes­day — while Spokane joined the Yes side on Thurs­day. King, San Juan, Pierce, Jef­fer­son, Kit­sap, What­com, and Grays Har­bor have been on the Yes side all along.)

The rest of Wash­ing­ton’s thir­ty-nine coun­ties are in the No camp, which isn’t real­ly all that sur­pris­ing, with the notable excep­tion of Thurston Coun­ty, which gen­er­al­ly breaks pro­gres­sive­ly when most oth­er swing coun­ties do.

Here is a chronol­o­gy of the count:

  • Elec­tion Night, Tues­day, Novem­ber 4th: I‑1351 trails by 13,555 votes
  • Wednes­day, Novem­ber 5th (end of day): I‑1351 trails by 11,431 votes
  • Thurs­day, Novem­ber 6th (end of day): I‑1351 leads by 4,473 votes
  • Fri­day, Novem­ber 7th (end of day): I‑1351 leads by 11,373 votes
  • Sat­ur­day, Novem­ber 8th (today): I‑1351 leads by 18,495 votes

The trend seems pret­ty clear: I‑1351 is head­ed for pas­sage. That’s good news for Wash­ing­ton’s kids. The icing on the cake is that a win for the Class Size Counts coali­tion would mean that all of Wash­ing­ton’s statewide bal­lot mea­sures would have had pro­gres­sive out­comes for the first time since 2009.

There will be no new num­bers until Mon­day afternoon.

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  1. […] — Oh hey, it looks like the class size ini­tia­tive is prob­a­bly going to pass. […]

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