NPI's Cascadia Advocate

Offering commentary and analysis from Washington, Oregon, and Idaho, The Cascadia Advocate is the Northwest Progressive Institute's unconventional perspective on world, national, and local politics.

Tuesday, May 14th, 2013

The Tyee: British Columbia’s New Democratic Party poised for a landslide victory tonight

British Columbi­a’s New Demo­c­ra­t­ic Par­ty (NDP) is on the cusp of a his­toric vic­to­ry tonight over the not-so lib­er­al B.C. Lib­er­als, accord­ing to The Tyee, the province’s best-known online-only publication.

The Tyee’s final elec­toral pre­dic­tion breaks down as fol­lows:

  • NDP: Fifty-sev­en seats
  • Lib­er­als: Twen­ty-sev­en seats
  • Inde­pen­dents: One seat

The Tyee clas­si­fies thir­ty-four seats as “def­i­nite­ly” NDP, with only thir­teen “def­i­nite­ly” Lib­er­al. A fur­ther twen­ty-three seats are con­sid­ered “Like­ly” NDP and four­teen “Like­ly” Lib­er­al. The Tyee no longer has any races clas­si­fied as tossups.

If the NDP does indeed cap­ture fifty-five plus seats tonight, it will be an elec­toral vic­to­ry of mam­moth pro­por­tions, and Adri­an Dix will take over as the province’s next pre­mier with a clear man­date to govern.

Eleventh hour polls indi­cate the NDP remains com­fort­ably ahead of the Lib­er­als, although polls in oth­er recent provin­cial elec­tions have been less than reliable.

But there’s no evi­dence that sug­gests that the Lib­er­als are going to eke out an upset here at the end. They haven’t con­ced­ed defeat, but they lack the ener­gy and the momen­tum that the NDP is clear­ly enjoying.

They’ve attempt­ed to scare British Columbians into not vot­ing NDP, and that tac­tic has cer­tain­ly worked in the past, but this may be the year it fails spectacularly.

The NDP, under Adri­an Dix, has remained cool and col­lect­ed in the face of Lib­er­al attacks for weeks, and is coun­ter­ing tele­vi­sion ad cam­paigns with peo­ple pow­er. The NDP is field­ing its best slate of can­di­dates in years and has improved its GOTV (get out the vote) oper­a­tions to com­pen­sate for the Lib­er­als’ mon­ey advantage.
I saw this first­hand when I vis­it­ed the Van­cou­ver area over the weekend.

If the NDP wins tonight, the entire Left Coast — stretch­ing from the U.S.-Mexico bor­der to the Alaskan coast — will have Democratic/New Demo­c­ra­t­ic, pro­gres­sive chief exec­u­tives in charge. (Ore­gon and Cal­i­for­nia elect­ed John Kitzhaber and Jer­ry Brown in 2010, while Wash­ing­ton elect­ed Jay Inslee just last year).

And British Colum­bia will have a gov­ern­ment com­mit­ted to job train­ing, eco­nom­ic oppor­tu­ni­ties, pro­tect­ing the province’s coasts and address­ing the cli­mate crisis.

We will have live cov­er­age of the B.C. provin­cial elec­tion here on The Advo­cate tonight begin­ning at 8 PM. Check back for instant analy­sis as the results roll in and we learn who will be the next Pre­mier of British Columbia.

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One Comment

  1. Thank you so much for cov­er­ing the BC elec­tions. As a Demo­c­ra­t­ic Social­ist, I look long­ing­ly at the pos­si­bil­i­ty of a par­ty rep­re­sent­ing the inter­est of work­ing peo­ple in the Unit­ed States. Although the NDP has drop the social­ist label, its pro­grams and goals remain social­ist. I wish peo­ple would for­get the labels and look at what demo­c­ra­t­ic social­ists are propos­ing. We want the inter­est of peo­ple to come before cor­po­ra­tions. We want a sus­tain­able world. We want a peace­ful world. We want a world where good health and edu­ca­tion are a guar­an­tee. Where food and shel­ter is avail­able for all. And final­ly, we want world where jus­tice and equal­i­ty rule. We Amer­i­cans should look to the north for exam­ples of what can be done.

    # by Bill Yates :: May 14th, 2013 at 1:30 PM