Last night at the NO on I‑1125 par­ty, I was asked sev­er­al times for a guessti­mate of what the final spread on I‑1125 would be. Though I don’t much care for mak­ing pre­dic­tions, I replied that I thought it was con­ceiv­able that we might reach 53% no by the time the elec­tion was certified.

Now, it’s pos­si­ble that we won’t quite cross the 53% thresh­old. But I think we just might, based on a cou­ple of fac­tors: the strong no vote in King Coun­ty and the weak yes vote in many east­ern Wash­ing­ton counties.

NPI’s expec­ta­tion is that the no vote is going to get stronger pret­ty much every­where, even in King Coun­ty, where it’s already pret­ty high.

A lit­tle ear­li­er this after­noon, Adams Coun­ty became the first coun­ty to switch sides and turn against I‑1125 after post­ing updat­ed returns. Adams went from 50.21% yes to 50.16% no in less than twen­ty-four hours.

Now, that’s not a huge swing, and Adams is a small coun­ty, but if that’s evi­dence of a big­ger trend across east­ern Wash­ing­ton (as our team thinks it is), then that could mean we’re going to end up doing bet­ter than we thought we were.

Oth­er coun­ties in east­ern Wash­ing­ton on the verge of defect­ing to the NO col­umn include Lin­coln, Colum­bia, and Spokane.

In west­ern Wash­ing­ton, it’s pos­si­ble that Pierce and Grays Har­bor could flip to the NO side. All of those coun­ties cur­rent­ly have a no vote that’s above 49%.

Many coun­ties have yet to report fresh num­bers for today. A lit­tle lat­er on, when we’ve got more infor­ma­tion, I’ll post anoth­er update on how we’re doing.

About the author

Andrew Villeneuve is the founder and executive director of the Northwest Progressive Institute, as well as the founder of NPI's sibling, the Northwest Progressive Foundation. He has worked to advance progressive causes for over two decades as a strategist, speaker, author, and organizer. Andrew is also a cybersecurity expert, a veteran facilitator, a delegate to the Washington State Democratic Central Committee, and a member of the Climate Reality Leadership Corps.

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One reply on “Adams County joins the NO on I‑1125 column”

  1. Pingback: NO on I-1125 vote reaches 53% statewide – NPI Advocate

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