NPI's Cascadia Advocate

Offering commentary and analysis from Washington, Oregon, and Idaho, The Cascadia Advocate is the Northwest Progressive Institute's unconventional perspective on world, national, and local politics.

Wednesday, August 17th, 2011

Richard Mitchell solidifies lead over John Creighton, will move on to general election

Moments ago, King Coun­ty Elec­tions updat­ed last night’s returns to reflect new­ly tab­u­lat­ed bal­lots. The updat­ed fig­ures show Demo­c­rat Richard Mitchell gain­ing ground in the con­test for King Coun­ty Coun­cil Dis­trict #6, with all of his rivals — incum­bent Repub­li­can Jane Hague includ­ed — los­ing ground.

Mitchel­l’s per­cent­age of the vote went from 27.87% to 29.06% in less than twen­ty-four hours. His lead over John Creighton, the third-place fin­ish­er, is near­ly twice what it was last night in actu­al votes (1,225 instead of 625).

The com­plete num­bers:

Bal­lots Cast/Registered Vot­ers: * 29432121139 (24.30%)
Pat­sy Bon­in­con­tri: 7.16% (1,986 votes)
Richard E. Mitchell: 29.06% (8,059 votes)
Jane Hague: 38.78% (10,754 votes)
John Creighton: 24.64% (6,834 votes)
Write-in: 0.36% (100 votes)

Creighton’s cam­paign had held out hope that they would be able to over­come Mitchell and cap­ture the sec­ond place spot. In a state­ment post­ed to his web­site ear­li­er today, Creighton described the race as “vir­tu­al­ly tied”, and added:

It is my belief that the swing vot­ers that cast their bal­lot in the final week­end of the elec­tion will break strong­ly in my favor and we will advance to defeat Jane Hague in Novem­ber. Our goal has always been to dethrone the 17-year incum­bent. It is my belief that I am the only can­di­date that can achieve this goal – I expect the returns in the next 48 hours will give me that oppor­tu­ni­ty.

So far, the oppo­site is hap­pen­ing: Lat­er bal­lots are break­ing even more strong­ly in favor of Richard Mitchell than ear­li­er bal­lots, putting Mitchell clos­er to incum­bent Jane Hague and fur­ther ahead of John Creighton.

Giv­en the trend we’re see­ing, it’s a safe bet that Mitchell is head­ed to the gen­er­al elec­tion. If Mitchell con­tin­ues to improve his show­ing at today’s pace, he should crack 30% of the vote tomor­row.

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