Comments on: Secretary of State contest very close: Democrat Kathleen Drew trails, but could reclaim lead by end of the week http://www.nwprogressive.org/weblog/2012/11/secretary-of-state-contest-very-close-democrat-kathleen-drew-trails-but-will-probably-reclaim-lead-by-end-of-the-week.html Offering daily news and analysis from the majestic Evergreen State and beyond, The Advocate is the Northwest Progressive Institute's unconventional perspective on world, national, and local politics. Tue, 14 May 2013 20:30:11 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.5.1 By: Floyd http://www.nwprogressive.org/weblog/2012/11/secretary-of-state-contest-very-close-democrat-kathleen-drew-trails-but-will-probably-reclaim-lead-by-end-of-the-week.html#comment-10077 Floyd Fri, 09 Nov 2012 00:10:03 +0000 http://www.nwprogressive.org/weblog/?p=6439#comment-10077 Concede, game over!

]]> By: Andrew http://www.nwprogressive.org/weblog/2012/11/secretary-of-state-contest-very-close-democrat-kathleen-drew-trails-but-will-probably-reclaim-lead-by-end-of-the-week.html#comment-9994 Andrew Thu, 08 Nov 2012 06:25:00 +0000 http://www.nwprogressive.org/weblog/?p=6439#comment-9994 Hi Mark, thanks for stopping by. Yes, we still think Drew can win. It’s true that she fell further behind Kim Wyman today. Wyman’s lead has widened by around ten thousand votes. However, King County (Drew’s stronghold) did not count very many ballots today. Yesterday, K.C. Elections reported that it had counted 556,083 ballots. Today, that number only got up to 609,611. That means only 53,528 ballots got counted today.

King County has 232,000 ballots on hand that have been verified, but remain to be counted. In addition, the county just reported that it received another 147,744 ballots in the mail today (and there are likely to be thousands more ballots arriving tomorrow and Friday). These 147,744 ballots will be put into the hopper for tabulation (so to speak) once they are verified. That means there are at least 375,000 ballots awaiting to be counted. If Drew gets sixty percent of those, that’s 225,000 votes.

Snohomish has around 100,000 ballots on hand waiting to be counted, and Whatcom 25,000. Drew is winning in those counties too.

So as the days go by, we expect Wyman’s lead to start shrinking. That said, Wyman is ahead in a few important counties that also have plenty of ballots left to count – Spokane, Clark, and Pierce. So if her lead does shrink as we project, it will most likely happen bit by bit.

]]> By: Mark http://www.nwprogressive.org/weblog/2012/11/secretary-of-state-contest-very-close-democrat-kathleen-drew-trails-but-will-probably-reclaim-lead-by-end-of-the-week.html#comment-9983 Mark Thu, 08 Nov 2012 05:09:05 +0000 http://www.nwprogressive.org/weblog/?p=6439#comment-9983 After Weds night’s drop, you still think Drew can win? She’s now 25k behind. Not sure how much what King drop in comparison to the other counties and what they have left factors in…

Can you do a predictive analysis based on the latest info?

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