Poll shows Senator Patty Murray in strong position for 2010
Earlier today the results of a Research 2000 poll commissioned by Daily Kos were released, showing Senator Patty Murray in a strong position for re-election in 2010. The poll put Senator Murray head to head against Congressman Dave Reichert and Attorney General Rob McKenna.
According to the poll, Murray beats Reichert 53% to 40%. Against McKenna, Murray wins 55% to 39%.While those results are certainly impressive, they're not particularly helpful for the 2010 race. What is telling in the poll is that Murray's favorables are higher than Reichert, McKenna and even President Obama (though in the category of "very favorable" she is below Obama). In addition, this poll put Senator Murray up against the most popular Republican in the state (McKenna) and it's clear that he's not up to the task.
Dave Reichert isn't likely to give up his seat, which he's narrowly won twice. Incumbency does have its advantages, and Reichert would be foolish to run against Murray, who is arguably the most popular elected official in the state. In Reichert's world, he'd be better off running as an incumbent and narrowly winning victory, than getting trounced by Murray.
And Rob McKenna isn't running for Senate. Anyone who has paid attention to Olympia for the past four years knows that Rob McKenna has designs on the Governor's office. Expect him to the be Republican nominee in 2012.
It's more likely the Republicans will do their usual dance with some independently wealthy white male like John Stanton, and then settle on some poor sod along the lines of chairman Luke Esser, who will then get trounced by Murray.
According to the poll, Murray beats Reichert 53% to 40%. Against McKenna, Murray wins 55% to 39%.While those results are certainly impressive, they're not particularly helpful for the 2010 race. What is telling in the poll is that Murray's favorables are higher than Reichert, McKenna and even President Obama (though in the category of "very favorable" she is below Obama). In addition, this poll put Senator Murray up against the most popular Republican in the state (McKenna) and it's clear that he's not up to the task.
Dave Reichert isn't likely to give up his seat, which he's narrowly won twice. Incumbency does have its advantages, and Reichert would be foolish to run against Murray, who is arguably the most popular elected official in the state. In Reichert's world, he'd be better off running as an incumbent and narrowly winning victory, than getting trounced by Murray.
And Rob McKenna isn't running for Senate. Anyone who has paid attention to Olympia for the past four years knows that Rob McKenna has designs on the Governor's office. Expect him to the be Republican nominee in 2012.
It's more likely the Republicans will do their usual dance with some independently wealthy white male like John Stanton, and then settle on some poor sod along the lines of chairman Luke Esser, who will then get trounced by Murray.
# Posted by Ken Camp : 6:17 PM
Comments:
Sen. Murray will win and conservative Republicans can do little except wring their hands in frustration. Depending on the opponent, she may even be able to hit 60%.
As you suggested, the real battle will be for the Governor's Mansion in 2012. McKenna will be a strong candidate.
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