McCain done in Colorado, New Mexico and Iowa

Here's CNN anchor John King (via Markos):

Most people top in the McCain campaign now believe New Mexico and Iowa are gone, that Barack Obama will win New Mexico and Iowa. They are now off the dream list of the McCain campaign. More interestingly, most top people inside the McCain campaign think Colorado is gone.

So they are now finishing with a very risky strategy. Win Florida. Win Nevada ... And here is the biggest risk of all -- yes they have to win North Carolina, yes they have to win Ohio, yes they have to win Virginia, trailing or dead-even in all those states right now. But they are betting Wolf on coming back and taking the state of Pennsylvania. It has become the critical state now in the McCain electoral scenario. And they are down 10, 12, and even 14 points in some polls there. But they say as Colorado, Iowa and other states drift away, they think they have to take a big state. 21 electoral votes in Pennsylvania, Wolf, watch that state over the next few weeks.

Not only is it good for Barack Obama if John McCain is pulling out of New Mexico and Colorado, but it helps the campaigns of Democrats Tom Udall and Mark Udall, both running for U.S. Senate, because their Republican opponents are on their own. And with both Udalls sporting nice leads in the polls, these two seats are looking like Democratic pickups. That's two more on the road to 60.

But in looking at the presidential race, in 2004 George W. Bush swept New Mexico (5 electoral votes), Colorado (9 electoral votes) and Iowa (7 electoral votes). That John McCain is conceding these states and Michigan (17 electoral votes) is incredible. He's effectively spotting Barack Obama a 38 electoral vote lead. Think Al Gore would have liked 38 more electoral votes in 2000?