Offering frequent news and analysis from the majestic Evergreen State and beyond, The Cascadia Advocate is the Northwest Progressive Institute's unconventional perspective on world, national, and local politics.

Sunday, May 4, 2008

Obama-Clinton ticket: "an unthinkable thought"?

Andrew Sullivan makes the case
Very few people in Washington believe that Barack Obama can now be denied the Democratic nomination. Even after the past month, as Hillary Clinton has hung in there, as the scandal about Jeremiah Wright (Obama's firebrand cleric) scandal has battered the post-racial Obama brand, and as white Reagan Democrats have proven resistant to a new young black freshman senator, Obama has actually increased his number of delegates. Clinton simply cannot overcome the edge he built up in February and March, however cruel his April turned out to be. And the superdelegates — who will ultimately decide -- have also been slowly trending his way.
So why a Clinton on the ticket as veep?
And the raw truth is: Clinton's victories in Ohio and Pennsylvania and persistence in states such as North Carolina and Indiana, which vote this Tuesday, have kept Obama from closing the deal definitively. Worse: the demographics seem to be hardening into a difficult dynamic for him. White working-class women — crucial to Democratic marginal states — remain resistant to his charms. Hispanics are also iffier than they should be. Somehow, the Clintons' brutal assault on his brand, aided and abetted by conservative media outlets, such as Rush Limbaugh and Bill O'Reilly, have managed to dent this unifier a little.
(snip)
The conservative white voters that Clinton has amazingly managed to attract could be combined with the massive infusion of new young votes, internet money, and African-American enthusiasm to create a potential tsunami in the election. Instead of having to pick between the first black president and the first woman president, the Democrats could offer voters both: the first black president and first female vice-president. Worries about Obama's relative youth and lack of Washington experience would be allayed by the presence of the Clintons. The toxicity of the Clinton baggage could be balanced by the hope Obama has inspired.

The Clintons could be deployed to shore up support in some of the Reagan Democrat states, while Obama wins over enough independents to carry the Mountain West and the upper Midwest. California, Ohio, New York, Florida and Pennsylvania could be secured.
On the other hand
They hate each other. Over this campaign, Obama's supporters, along with many others, have been taken aback by the raw, unprincipled bare-knuckle politics that the Clintons have unleashed against the greatest talent to emerge in national politics since Bill Clinton himself. Moreover, the core appeal of Obama has been that he isn't a Clinton; he hasn't capitulated to the zero-sum politics of Karl Rove, George W Bush's mastermind. His outreach to new and young and non-Democratic voters has been premised on an end to the kind of politics the Clintons represent. When I raised the idea of an Obama-Clinton ticket on my blog last week, Obama-supporting readers were outraged and offended.
The vision
Remember Kennedy-Johnson? They too loathed each other and cast extremely different shadows in American public life. But Kennedy put Johnson on his ticket in order to achieve exactly what Obama needs to achieve now: bringing more conservative, practically-minded voters into his camp. There are other figures who could do this for Obama — most obviously, the anti-war Reagan Democrat senator Jim Webb from Virginia. Webb also neutralizes McCain's veteran appeal to heartland voters. And Webb has a tough campaigning streak as well.But the hard reality is that the Democratic party is deeply divided and Webb cannot bring the losing faction with him.

The Clinton dynasty has lost to the new pretender, but it hasn't been defeated in one fell swoop. Dynasties rarely are. The old guard also has enough clout and enough support to threaten Obama with considerable collateral damage — if it wants to — and that's the message it is now clearly sending.

The old political adage that you should keep your friends close but your enemies closer therefore seems appropriate.
The meta argument
I hesitate to propose this, but I do think it is now worth actively considering for the first time in this campaign. The test of a president is his ability to recognise his own weaknesses and adjust to them. If he can do that while strengthening his core message, and make his own election close to unstoppable, what would hold him back?
I remain a skeptic about this proposal, but if we are really going to talk to our external "competitors" on the world stage, relying on uniting around shared goals, it would follow logically (of course, naked politics is never entirely logical) that we would follow the same course inside our shores. Perhaps Sullivan has taken the "Audacity of Hope" to its natural conclusion.

Comments:

OpenID liberalmindconservativesoul said...

As many as I respect Andrew and Obama, I have to say that it is really a naive idea. Think about it, what benefits that Clinton would get if she had accepted VP position. She is 60. She has many reputation in the Senate. She can build her career in the Senate as the next best alternative. What in the hell that she would like to get a symbolic VP position?

A dream ticket? Yes. But it is a "dream". I do like those people who chase the dream. But I would not vote for them to be a president. That's the exact reason that I am not voting for Obama in the primary and will not vote for him in the general election.

If Obama camp still can't get it, there are lots of people like me.

BTW, I am a first generation immigrant, am young, have two Master degree, and have liberal position on all social issues. And I never thought that I would vote for a Republican candidate in this year's general election 6 months ago. A typical profile for Obama supporter. But now I had made the decision and I will vote for an "experienced" candidate.

May 4, 2008 10:46 AM  
Blogger renegade said...

I think you are making a very good argument for a Barack/Hillary ticket, but with one caveat.

IF Obama considers Clinton as a running mate, he needs to vet her and thoroughly check out the issues the press doesn't inquire about, after all there IS a reason the Republicans are so blatantly supporting Clinton (and arguably the reason she is holding her own in this campaign). Obama needs to make sure there isn't something in the closet that would wind up being a deal breaker.

Although your logic goes a long way towards crossing the widening divide that separates race and sex, indeed extending the offer might be enough to heal much of the damage that has occurred these past months. However, I'd shudder at the thought of having THAT team stand behind me the next four years...let me think on it a while!

May 4, 2008 9:18 PM  

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