Offering frequent news and analysis from the majestic Evergreen State and beyond, The Cascadia Advocate is the Northwest Progressive Institute's unconventional perspective on world, national, and local politics.

Tuesday, January 8, 2008

Clinton stuns expectations of pollsters and traditional media - not Obama

Looking at the New York Times' site a few minutes ago, I was surprised to see this headline for the New Hampshire primary results:
Clinton Stuns Obama; McCain Wins
Um....what?

Hillary Clinton may have defied the very recent expectations of pollsters, pundits, and reporters in the traditional media by rebounding quickly from her loss in Iowa. But she has long been touted by her own campaign (and many Beltway pundits) as the inevitable Democratic nominee.

Media outlets rushed to crown Obama as the front runner after his huge win in Iowa, and now that Hillary Clinton appears to have narrowly captured New Hampshire, their narrative is a big mess.

Hence the absurd headline, "Clinton Stuns Obama."

I watched Obama's speech live not too long ago, and he didn't sound stunned. Neither did his supporters. They're ready to take this to the next level.

Of course Obama's campaign was hoping and working for a victory in New Hampshire. But they have done extremely well against a formidable Hillary Clinton operation. Clinton is winning a close race tonight in a small New England state - not a blowout. If tonight's results are any indication, this race is just getting started. As Markos put it: "There is no coronation this year."

And here's the Washington Post's Jonathan Weisman and Paul Kane:
Clinton's unexpected victory in New Hampshire brought her once-reticent supporters out in droves. But no one was about to claim the mantle of front runner.

"Both campaigns are going to pull every tool out of the tool box, especially now that we'll have almost two weeks until voters go back to the voting booths," said Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-Fla.), a Clinton supporter.

"This is going to end up being quite a contest before it's all over."
Democrats in states other than Iowa and New Hampshire have an opportunity to influence the direction of the contest.

Nevada Democrats will caucus in a matter of days. South Carolina will follow with its primary, and Super Tuesday occurs shortly thereafter.

If the race is still up in the air after Super Tuesday, the nation's attention will turn next to the handful of states holding nominating events on Saturday, February 9th - especially Washington State's precinct caucuses.

Will we get an opportunity to enjoy the national traditional media spotlight? We'll know in a month. Even if we don't, a prolonged contest will be fun to watch in other states. The candidates all say they want to run a marathon - and we'll be glad to cheer them on from the stands.

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