Offering frequent news and analysis from the majestic Evergreen State and beyond, The Cascadia Advocate is the Northwest Progressive Institute's unconventional perspective on world, national, and local politics.

Sunday, November 05, 2006

Poll Watch: Cantwell with commanding lead

Maria Cantwell has a commanding lead in the final MSNBC/McClatchy polls released this morning. From MSNBC
In Washington, incumbent Democratic Sen. Maria Cantwell has maintained her sizeable lead over Republican challenger Mike McGavick. She now leads by 16 percentage points, 54 percent to 38 percent, with 7 percent undecided. Last month she led by 15 percentage points (52 percent to 37 percent).
The poll was in the field in Washington Oct. 31-Nov. 2, according to MSNBC, and surveyed 625 likely voters. The margin of error is reported as "no more than plus or minus four percent."

The article has poll sumaries from all the key Senate races around the country. Bottom line: the GOP might barely hang on to the Senate. It's not a done deal, but logically that is the most likely outcome at this point. It's hard to run the table.

But just like ballgames, there's a reason elections are not held by the media. A strong tide could still change things at the last minute. Remember, the Pacific Northwest is unique in how far we have gone to vote by mail. There are other forms of early voting and vote by mail around the country, but many Americans will still be going to the polls on Tuesday.

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